Bank of Spain puts cost of October floods at 0.2%/GDP in fourth quarter
Sees inflation rising 0.15 percentage points
Central bank says aid to zone should be temporary
Banks will able to absorb impact
Adds quotes from Bank of Spain Governor in paras 7 and 9, data on prices in 4
By Jesús Aguado
MADRID, Nov 20 (Reuters) -Catastrophic floods in eastern Spain last month arelikely to have a negative impact of 0.2 percentage points on gross domestic product in the fourth quarter, the Bank of Spain said on Wednesday, also expecting a mild acceleration in inflation.
More than 200 people died in the deadliest flooding in Spain's modern history on Oct. 29, most of them in the region of Valencia, where the flood-hit areas account for around 2% of Spain's economic activity.
Flash floods after torrential rains swept away cars, bridges and homes, paralysed businesses and heavily damaged crops and industrial plants.
"Estimates are subject to significant uncertainty, but, based on previous weather-related events, the estimated impact on GDP is -0.2 pp in the current quarter, remaining negative one year later," the central bank said in a presentation.
It also said the floods would trigger a rise in consumer prices of 0.15 percentage points.
Before the floods, the government had expected the Spanish economy to grow 2.7% this year, by far outperforming its European peers. Spanish consumer prices rose 1.8% in the 12 months through October.
The government has announced a14.36 billion euros ($15.15 billion) aid package to help households and businesses cope with the economic impact from the floods.
Bank of Spain Governor Jose Luis Escriva said it would be desirable for such aid to be "temporary and specifically targeted" to affected industries to reduce long-term costs.
Damages to businesses in towns hit by floods could amount to over 10 billion euros, with banks' loan exposure to the affected area worth around 20.6 billion euros, representatives for local firms and a Bank of Spain official said earlier this month.
On Wednesday, Escriva said the Spanish banking sector would be able to absorb the shock, including the smaller lenders most exposed to the worst-hit parts.
In total, the central bank identified almost 27,000 companies with outstanding loans and half a million loan holders in those regions.
($1 = 0.9478 euros)
Reporting by Jesus Aguado and Emma Pinedo, editing by Andrei Khalip
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.