Zloty, forint firms on euro jump, Czech crown lags behind
By Boldizsar Gyori
BUDAPEST, July 1 (Reuters) -Central European currencies firmed or held steady on Monday as the euro firmed and markets' risk-appetite grew following the first round of French parliamentary elections that somewhat eased investor uncertainty.
Hungary's forint EURHUF= firmed 0.4% to a 3-week high to trade at 393.1 to the euro, with the Polish zloty EURPLN= also firming 0.34% to trade at 4.295 at 0831 GMT.
"July begins with a strong upward trend in the Eurodollar market as a reaction to the results of the first round of parliamentary elections in France," Bank Millennium said in a note.
"They indicate the victory of the far-right National Union, but with slightly less support than the polls indicated."
The euro jumped on Monday after a convincing and historic win by the French far right in the first round of parliamentary elections fell slightly short of some expectations, leaving the final result dependent on party deals before a second round next weekend.
The crown underperformed its central European peers by holding steady since markets opened, trading at 25.01, returning from a 2-month low touched last week when the Czech National Bank (CNB) cut its key two-week repo rate CZCBIR=ECI by 50 basis points on Thursday, on the sharper end of expectations.
"The Czech crown is under pressure after the surprise 50bps interest rate cut in June and is moving above the key psychological level of EUR 25.00/CZK," CSOB Bank said in a note.
"The crown may thus be at the mercy of political tensions in Europe in the coming weeks and months."
Hungarian, Czech and Polish manufacturing activity all showed contraction for June, S&P Global's manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)showed, with the results coming in below the 50-point mark that separates growth from contraction.
CEE MARKETS | SNAPSHOT | AT 1031 CET | ||||
CURRENCIES | ||||||
Latest | Previous | Daily | Change | |||
trade | close | change | in 2024 | |||
EURCZK= | Czech crown | EURCZK= | 25.0110 | 25.0370 | +0.10% | -1.24% |
EURHUF= | Hungary forint | EURHUF= | 393.1000 | 394.7500 | +0.42% | -2.52% |
EURPLN= | Polish zloty | EURPLN= | 4.2950 | 4.3095 | +0.34% | +1.15% |
EURRON= | Romanian leu | EURRON= | 4.9770 | 4.9775 | +0.01% | -0.05% |
EURRSD= | Serbian dinar | EURRSD= | 116.9300 | 117.0200 | +0.08% | +0.27% |
Note: daily change | calculated from | 1800 CET | ||||
Latest | Previous | Daily | Change | |||
close | change | in 2024 | ||||
.PX | Prague | .PX | 1548.98 | 1545.9100 | +0.20% | +9.54% |
.BUX | Budapest | .BUX | 71836.75 | 72094.79 | -0.36% | +18.50% |
.WIG20 | Warsaw | .WIG20 | 2572.87 | 2561.27 | +0.45% | +9.81% |
.BETI | Bucharest | .BETI | 18219.86 | 18244.75 | -0.14% | +18.53% |
Spread | Daily | |||||
vs Bund | change in | |||||
Czech Republic | spread | |||||
CZ2YT=RR | 2-year | CZ2YT=RR | 4.0120 | 0.0270 | +110bps | -6bps |
CZ5YT=RR | 5-year | CZ5YT=RR | 4.0560 | 0.0130 | +149bps | -8bps |
CZ10YT=RR | 10-year | CZ10YT=RR | 4.2000 | 0.0360 | +163bps | -5bps |
Poland | ||||||
PL2YT=RR | 2-year | PL2YT=RR | 5.1640 | 0.0100 | +225bps | -8bps |
PL5YT=RR | 5-year | PL5YT=RR | 5.6130 | 0.0160 | +305bps | -8bps |
PL10YT=RR | 10-year | PL10YT=RR | 5.7910 | 0.0240 | +322bps | -6bps |
FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS | ||||||
3x6 | 6x9 | 9x12 | 3M interbank | |||
Czech Rep | CZKFRAPRIBOR= | 4.36 | 4.12 | 3.93 | 4.71 | |
Hungary | HUFFRABUBOR= | 7.11 | 6.84 | 6.54 | 6.89 | |
Poland | PLNFRAWIBOR= | 5.80 | 5.67 | 5.37 | 5.85 | |
Note: FRA quotes | are for ask prices | |||||
************************************************************** |
Reporting by Boldizsar Gyori in Budapest; additional reporting by Jan Lopatka in Prague; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala
For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets:
All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/
Spot FX rates
Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX=
Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX=
Other news and reports
World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE
Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY
Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.