XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Japan's yen posts outsized gains, traders suspect new bout of intervention



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>UPDATE 3-Japan's yen posts outsized gains, traders suspect new bout of intervention</title></head><body>

Adds context, top currency diplomat quote paragraph 6, analyst quote 7-8

By Alun John

July 17 (Reuters) -The yen strengthened steadily against the dollar on Wednesday, with traders suspecting another round official buying after Japanese authorities last week likely stepped in to haul the currency away from 38-year lows.

The dollar was last down 1.22% at 156.34 yen, its lowest in around a month JPY=EBS. The euro was also down 0.9% on the yen. EURJPY=EBS

The Japanese currency has posted several outsized moves in recent days, appreciating sharply on Thursday and Friday from near 38-year lows, sudden rallies which market participants said had the hallmarks of currency intervention.

Bank of Japan data released on Tuesday suggested Tokyo may have spent 2.14 trillion yen ($13.5 billion) intervening on Friday. Combined with the estimated amount spent on Thursday, Japan is suspected to have bought nearly 6 trillion yen via intervention last week.

Japan's Ministry of Finance was not immediately available for comment when contacted earlier by Reuters. Authorities have recently made it standard practice to not confirm whether they stepped in.

Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda said on Wednesday he would have to respond if speculators cause excessive moves in the currency market and that there was no limit to how often authorities could intervene, Kyodo News reported.

"Current valuations are still stretched and the yen is still undervalued, so a bit more activism in FX markets from Japan is the way to correct any misalignments," said Geoff Yu, senior macro strategist, BNY Mellon, London.

"But we have to wait for official confirmation."

The likely intervention in the past week is the second such bout this year.

Tokyo spent roughly 9.8 trillion yen ($61 billion) defending the yen at the end of April and in early May, according to official data, after the currency hit a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29.

But the yen continued to grind lower, hitting its lowest since December 1986 at 161.96 on July 3.

It has lost over a third of its value against the dollar in under three years JPYUSD=R, partly as a function of the large difference in interest rates between Japan and those elsewhere, but particularly those in the United States.

This discount encourages traders to sell the yen in favour of higher-yielding assets and pocket the difference, a set-up known as a "carry trade".

The BOJ ended eight years of negative interest rates in March. The new short-term rate target range of 0-0.1% is still at a substantial discount to U.S. rates at 5.25-5.50%.

The central bank meets at the end of this month and policymakers have dropped hints a rate rise might be on the cards. 0#BOJWATCH



Japan's history of yen interventions https://tmsnrt.rs/3MiQrHT


Reporting by the EMEA and Asia markets teams,writing by Alun John; editing by Amanda Cooper and Miral Fahmy

</body></html>

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.