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USD/JPY volatile yesterday, off in US on BOJ hike talk



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  • USD/JPY volatile yesterday, up to 155.22 late Asia, plunge to 152.66 in NY

  • Talk of possible BOJ 0.25 bp rate hike to low, move to high still a mystery

  • Asia 153.14 to 152.42 EBS, moving towards 151.95 7/25 low, 151.61 200-DMA?

  • 200-DMA to 100-DMA parameters held since 7/24, into today BOJ announcement

  • Most in Tokyo still eye taper schedule and only hints of future hikes

  • That said, some say BOJ may want to put nail in coffin of yen weakness

  • Chunky nearby option expiries today, could help contain spot action

  • 152.25 $675 mln, 152.50-60 $1.7 bln, 152.80-90 $723 mln, then large 154-155

  • Some month-end Tokyo fix demand but some exporter sales eyed too

  • US rates in sag mode, Treasury 2s @4.363%, 10s @4.148%, JGB 10s @1.053%

  • BOJ policy announcement, Ueda presser likely to trump FOMC tonight

  • Related comments nL1N3JM0UK, nL1N3JM0FX, nL1N3JM0AQ, nL1N3JM0B9

  • Also nL1N3JM102, on BOJ nL1N3JM026, nL1N3JM1KM, US data nL1N3JM0PT

  • US markets nL1N3JM11O, nL1N3JM1DD, nL4N3JM1F8, nL1N3JM043

  • For more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/3Wq9uXI

USD/JPY nearby option expiries this week: https://tmsnrt.rs/4fs0oCw

Yield on US Treasury 2s: https://tmsnrt.rs/3WKr4qA

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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