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USD/JPY on hold around 158.00 after latest intervention



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  • USD/JPY 158.03-31 EBS so far in Asia after the latest Japanese intervention

  • Relatively large MOF JPY action seen from Thursday of last week

  • Low of 157.30 Friday, 157.17 yesterday as Tokyo holiday-ed

  • Technically, some support around 55-DMA at 157.57, daily kijun 158.84 above

  • Hourly Ichi cloud 158.17-159.53, on the wide, to help cap upside?

  • Descending 55-HMA in cloud at 158.33, also descending 100-HMA 159.58 above

  • Market pretty sure of Fed Sept rate but, maybe three now seen this year

  • US Treasury yields soft, 2s to 4.420% overnight, 10s to 4.198%

  • Nearby option expiries to cap USD/JPY upside? Massive $2.5 bln 159.00-35

  • Also today 158.30 $795 mln, 158.00 $675 mln, tomorrow 158.40-50 $1.5 bln

  • Japanese importers to take advantage of lower USD/JPY rate

  • Japanese exporters will wait for rallies to sell, towards 158.50 today?

  • Related comments nL1N3J70NF, nL8N3J70F2, nL1N3J7090, nL1N3J506R

  • And nL1N3J40OZ, nL1N3J402N, also nL1N3J70S2, nL1N3J708T

  • US markets nL1N3J70IV, nL1N3J70XW, nL4N3J70Y2, nL1N3J701P

  • Also nL1N3J3192, on Fed-speak nL1N3J70R8, also nL1N3J70OJ

  • For more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/4f5eucx

USD/JPY nearby option expiries this week: https://tmsnrt.rs/3WmYATy

Yield on US Treasury 2s: https://tmsnrt.rs/4d5I0gJ

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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