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USD/JPY heavy post-BOJ Ueda, more probes lower?



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  • USD/JPY was on the back-foot yesterday, BOJ Gov Ueda reinforced hike view

  • BOJ data dependent but feels economic and price outlooks correct, on course

  • Gov Ueda also confirmed FX and impact on economy, prices important

  • USD/JPY 155.41 to 153.91 yesterday, Asia today 154.12-53, better offered

  • Low yesterday, 153.28 low Tuesday, 153.00 supports, daily Ichi tenkan 152.92

  • Resistance now from 154.57-155.32 hourly Ichi cloud, cloud to taper later

  • 100, 200, 55-HMAs in hourly cloud at 154.73, 154.90, 154.95

  • Nearby option expiries today 153.00 $370 mln, 153.50 $451 mln

  • And 154.00 $1.2 bln, also between 154.90-155.10 total $801 mln

  • Japanese importer interest eyed sub-154.00, some exporters on rallies

  • Firm US rates supportive? Treasury 2s @4.345%, 10s @4.416%

  • JGB yields recently legging up too however, 10s to as high as 1.105%

  • Japan Oct CPI +2.3% y/y, tad higher than +2.2% eyed, supports BOJ hike case

  • Related comments nL1N3MS0Q3, nL1N3MS0BL, nL1N3MS09P, nL8N3MR1MS

  • And nL1N3MQ021, USD bull view nL1N3MS0C2, also nL1N3MS0ZK

  • On US data nL1N3MS0IB, BOJ nL1N3MS05S, Japan CPI nAZN2NUO0I

  • US markets nL1N3MS0T3, nL1N3MS114, nL4N3MS161, nL1N3MS02O

  • For more click on FXBUZ


USD/JPY: https://tmsnrt.rs/40XVQio

Yield on US Treasury 2s: https://tmsnrt.rs/48YdbK5

Yield on JGB 10s: https://tmsnrt.rs/3Z4k73J

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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