USD bears hope Fed starts thinking about 50 bps cut
Aug 1 (Reuters) -Dollar bears hope the possibility of a jumbo half-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month gains traction, as this could negatively impact the greenback.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said at a press conference on Wednesday that a first rate cut of 50 basis points is "not something we are thinking about right now", after he put a September rate cut on the table.
Worse than expected US data might get the Fed thinking about whether it should start its rate-cutting cycle with an aggressive 50 bps reduction - with scope for that ball to start rolling if the U.S. unemployment rate comes in higher than the 4.1% consensus forecast in July's jobs report due on Friday.
Markets currently see a 13% chance of the Fed cutting rates by 50 bps on Sept. 18, with a 25 bps cut fully priced. FEDWATCH
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(Robert Howard is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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