US recap: EUR/USD fizzles as politics, policy grow choppy for dollar
Dollar jitters vs yen persist with brief break below 55DMA
AUD/USD-Consolidation persists ahead of US sales data risk
July 15 (Reuters) -The dollar rose modestly against the other majors on Monday, rebounding off multi-month lows in some cases as investors sought to navigate though a choppy confluence of political and monetary policy factors following a weekend assassination attempt against Donald Trump.
Markets opened the week apparently more convinced that the Republican former president would win the November election, leading to rising longer dated bond yields and a steeper curve.
Meanwhile, Chair Jerome Powell said that policymakers are awaiting more data to help build confidence that inflation is retreating, a position that appears to have changed little in the wake of unexpectedly soft consumer price inflation figures reported last week.
Still, that CPI report has left the market convinced that the Fed will ease in September and factoring in the possibility of as many as three cuts this year, even as investors position for more fiscal stimulus, higher bond yields and heavier trade tariffs in the event of a Trump victory.
Next up, investors will scrutinize U.S. retail sales on Tuesday.
U.S. Treasury yields eased 1-2bp at the front end and rose 1-5bp from the belly through the long bond. The 2s-10s curve steepened about 5bp to an increasingly less inverted -21.9bp.
The S&P 500 was holding onto gains of 0.47% by New York afternoon trade, having retreated from a record high hit earlier in the session.
WTI eased 0.29%, as worries about demand in top importer China offset support from OPEC+ supply restraint and ongoing tensions in the Middle East.
Copper fell 1.65% as weak demand prospects in top consumer China were emphasised by slow economic growth, weak lending numbers and rising inventories.
Gold firmed 0.47%, hovering near a more than one-month high hit last week, aided by hopes for interest rate cuts from the Fed.
Heading toward the close: EUR/USD -0.1%, USD/JPY +0.16%, GBP/USD -0.15%, AUD/USD -0.32%.
For more click on FXBUZ
(Burton Frierson)
</body></html>Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
