Stocks rally, dollar droops in abbreviated session
Wall Street looking set for best month in a year
Dollar dominance shifts as yen surges, ECB bets shift
Asian equities set for monthly falls on Trump tariff fears
Dollar set for a 3.1% weekly drop on yen
Updates to close of trading
By Alden Bentley and Naomi Rovnick
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Global stock markets rallied on Friday, with Wall Street crowningNovember with itsbiggest monthly gain in a year on post-election growth hopes, while the dollar eased amidprospects for firmer rates in Japan and easing in Europe.
U.S. trading was thin the day after Thanksgiving. Many investors made ita long weekend and stocks and bonds closed early, somost month-end position adjustments were done before the holiday.
The S&P 500 .SPX rose 0.56% to markthe best monthly gain since November 2023 of 5.14%,while the Nasdaq's .IXIC 0.83% rise Friday secureda 6.2% gain for the month, it's bestsince May.
MSCI's broad gauge of world stocks .MIWO00000PUS rose0.52%, also securingthe best month since May.
Donald Trump's Nov. 5 election victory and pledges of tax cuts, deregulation and import tariffs have supercharged investors' expectations for U.S. and Wall Street stocks to keep outperforming other regions. U.S. tech shares are also benefiting from an artificial intelligence investing craze.
Speculation about Japanese rate hikes drove a rebound for the yen JPY=EBS, which ended with the biggestweekly gain vs the buck since July. The dollar fell 1.25% on the day to 149.65 yen. It delved 149.46yen in late trade, the lowest since Oct. 21, under pressure afterJapan's government finalised a stimulus budget and inflation in Tokyo came in hotter than economists expected.
The dollar index =USD, which measures the currency against six major rivals, fell 0.26% to 105.79, endingthe week 1.4% lower thanks to a sudden rebound for the euro, which had been lurching towards the key $1 marker on tariff fears and a bleak euro zone outlook
The outlook for lower U.S. rates has also weighed on the dollar. Trump's import tariffs could boost U.S. inflation, Federal Reserve officials have turned cautious on rate cuts whilefutures traders putodds that the Fed will cut rates another 25 basis points at December's meeting at 65%. However, for 2025 they see less chance that the central bankwill continue to bring rates down at the same pace as this year.
"The dollar is a little bit weaker. That's helpful for the multinationals in the S&P 500," said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist, LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Trump has pledged immediate 25% tariffs on all products from Mexico and Canada when he takes office in January and an additional 10% on imports from China, a major trading partner for Asian economies and euro zone export powerhouse Germany.
"President-elect Trump has called out Canada, Mexico, and China for now, but Europe is not far down the list," strategists at BCA Research said, recommending investors limit their exposure to European stocks and favour German government bonds.
The euro EUR=EBS wrapped the day up 0.21% at $1.0575. It has recovered from crushing losses since the Nov. 5 U.S. election to gain 1.25% this week, supported by data on Friday showing higher euro zone inflation, limiting bets for deep European Central Bank rate cuts.
Europe's STOXX .STOXX share index rose 0.58%, while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 rose 12.65 points, or 0.63%. Asian and emerging market stocks sustained the deepest blows from tariff fears.
While Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index .N225 eased a bit on Friday, it ended November off 2.23%, even though Japan was not singled out as a tariff target. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS showed a 2.35% loss for the month.
Traders have fully priced a 25-bps European Central Bank rate cut to 3% in December, although hawkish remarks from board member Isabel Schnabel this week dampened speculation about a 50 bps reduction.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 6.8 basis points to 4.174%. Investors bought government bonds this week after Trump nominated hedge fund manager and Wall Street veteran Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary, easing fears about excessive U.S. borrowing.
U.S. crude CLc1 fell 0.42% to $68.43 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 fell to $73.06 per barrel, down 0.3% on the dayafter theIsrael-Hezbollah ceasefire deal in Lebanon eased supply fears, while gold XAU= rose 0.42% to $2,652.09 an ounce.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin BTC= gained 2.23% to $97,252.72.
Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
Reporting by Naomi Rovnick, additional reporting by Stella Qiu in Sydney and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; editing by Mark Heinrich, David Evans and Nick Zieminski
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
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