Sterling falls to 6-month low after weak British data
Updates prices at 1120 GMT, adds quote, context
LONDON, Nov 22 (Reuters) -The pound tumbled on Friday after data showed British business output in November shrank for the first time in more than a year, and retail sales also fell by much more than expected in October.
Sterling hit its lowest on the dollar since May, and was last down 0.56% at $1.2517. If future data continues to show economic weakness, the Bank of England may be forced to cut rates more dramatically than markets currently expect. GBP=D3
Britain's preliminary S&P Global Flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index, published on Friday, fell to 49.9 in November - below the 50.0 no-change level for the first time in 13 months - from 51.8 in October.
"Today's PMI data were the first real test of the chancellor's budget – alongside businesses reaction to unfolding geopolitical events," said Sanjay Raja, chief UK economist at Deutsche bank.
British finance minister Rachel Reeves announced a budget in late October, which raised taxes on business and the wealthy.
"Underneath the hood, we are seeing stress on hiring plans. Both the manufacturing and services sectors reported falls in hiring plans. And (input) prices – particularly for services – have started to firm as businesses digest the budget tax implications.
"For policymakers, the key question now will be to assess whether the potential inflationary hit from higher taxes offsets the potential demand hit from weaker private demand."
Gilt yields fell, while markets sightly upped their expectations of Bank of England easing. GB/
Separate data also from Friday showed retail sales volumes dropped by 0.7% in October from September, more than expected and the sharpest drop since June.
While the pound fell against most other currencies, such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc GBPJPY=, GBPCHF=, it was little changed on the euro, which took a tumble on weak euro zone PMI data. FRX/
The euro was last flat on the day at 83.24 pence. EURGBP=D3
Graphic: World FX rates in 2023 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Graphic: Trade-weighted sterling since Brexit vote http://tmsnrt.rs/2hwV9Hv
Reporting by Alun John, editing by Samuel Indyk and Alex Richardson
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.