South African rand gains, focus on U.S. inflation data
JOHANNESBURG, July 11 (Reuters) -The South African rand was stronger in early trading on Thursday, as investors focused on key U.S. inflation data for hints on the future interest rate path of the world's biggest economy.
At 0753 GMT, the rand traded at 18.0650 against the dollar ZAR=D3, around 0.3% stronger than its previous close.
"Ahead of both local and U.S. data today, look for ranges to continue," said Rand Merchant Bank analysts in a research note.
Markets will focus on inflation data out of the U.S. on Thursday for clues on the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path.
U.S. inflation has been improving in recent months and earlier this week Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that "more good data would strengthen" the case for central bank interest rate cuts.
"Bets on a September rate cut have climbed to 75% as the Fed walks a tightrope between keeping rates higher for longer at the risk of pushing the economy into a recession," said Andre Cilliers, currency strategist at TreasuryONE.
The rand often takes cues from global drivers like U.S. monetary policy in addition to local data points.
Locally, Statistics South Africa will publish May's mining data ZAMNG=ECI at around 0930 GMT and manufacturing data ZAMAN=ECI at around 1100 GMT.
On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the blue-chip <Top-40 index .JTOPI last traded around 0.5% stronger in early trade.
South Africa's benchmark 2030 government bond ZAR2030= was slightly stronger in early deals, with the yield down 1 basis point to 9.715%.
Reporting by Tannur Anders
Editing by Bernadette Baum
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