JPM sees luxury trends staying muted in Q4
** J.P.Morgan expects trends to remain muted for European luxury names in Q4 due to continued China softness and despite possibly better consumer confidence in the U.S. after elections
** Q3 performance was worse than feared and JPM says it expects broadly similar trends in Q4 vs Q3
** "No one was immune, including the most defensive and highest quality players," it says on soft trends with Chinese consumers, but adds that elsewhere the trends were more mixed depending on the company
** It sees flat organic sales growth for the sector in Q4
** "Besides top-lines, profitability should also be a growing focus for investors going into FY updates, and the risk to margins in the context of sales flat at best" - JPM
** It sees Prada 1913.HK as an outlier, pointing to accelerating momentum at Miu Miu, resilience at the Prada brand and margin expansion
** Among sectors, it stays structurally more positive on jewellery vs soft luxury, and confirms its relative preference for Richemont CFR.S vs the rest of the sector
Reporting by Anna Pruchnicka
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.