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Jefferies ups BASF to 'hold' on more limited earnings risk



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** Jefferies upgrades German chemicals giant BASF BASFn.DE to "hold" from "underperform", citing more limited earnings risk

** The analysts say global upstream chemical product spreads have improved slightly through summer from 20-year lows, alongside recovering volumes, which should support lower end of FY guidance

** With the stock trading at around 8% dividend yield, downside seems more limited, they add, keeping their PT unchanged at 43 euros

** Still, BASF's largely Germany/Europe production footprint is "at the wrong end of the global chemicals cost curve," analysts say, adding the chemicals maker is likely to face ongoing asset closures across Europe

** "The dividend can be financed for now, supported by asset sales," Jefferies said, but "a cyclical improvement is required post 2026 needed to avoid more divestments"



Reporting by Marleen Kaesebier

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