Jefferies cautious on steel firms' Q2, sees demand pick-up in 2025
** Jefferies remains cautious into European steel sector's Q2 reporting season and says demand recovery might be pushed to 2025
** It says steel prices are close to the bottom, and expects infrastructure related demand to pick up in late H2 2024 or in 2025, after the U.S. presidential election
** Thus it expects outlook commentary into Q3 to be cautious
** Jefferies' top picks are still ArcelorMittal MT.LU in Europe, and Cleveland-Cliffs CLF.N and United States Steel X.N in the U.S. (all "buy")
** It says ArcelorMittal is well placed to benefit from 2025 demand, restocking and steel pricing recovery, while negative drivers such as Mexico strikes and weak near-term market dynamics are reflected in the shares
** ArcelorMittal's balance sheet allows flexibility for buybacks and bolt-on M&A, and can deliver positive FCF with disciplined future capex, it adds
** It keeps "hold" on Nucor NUE.N, Salzgitter SZGG.DE, SSAB SSABa.ST, Steel Dynamics STLD.O and Voestalpine VOES.VI
Reporting by Marta Frackowiak
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