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Japan data on stronger side, contrasts with BOJ outlook



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  • Japan data remains on the stronger side despite BOJ expectations

  • Oct core machinery orders MM +2.1%, YY +5.6%, +1.2% and +0.7% expected

  • Q4 CAPEX off to a very good start, should help up Q4 GDP

  • Flash PMIs also look better, Dec mfg PMI 49.5, Nov 49.0, below 50 but up

  • Services PMI 51.4 vs Nov 50.5 and composite PMI 50.8 vs 50.1, expansion up

  • Recent data seems to go against growing view of BOJ hold this week

  • BOJ Tankan numbers out Friday solid nAZN2TQC9B, nL4N3ND07V, nL4N3NB0L5

  • Nov domestic corporate goods prices out Dec 11 also YY +3.7% nAZN2SR5ON

  • Despite market tilted towards BOJ hold, still chance of move nL2N3N6031

  • See nAZN2U71TT, nL4N3NG06Q, nZRN00AMPW, for more click on FXBUZ


BOJ to forego hike?: https://reut.rs/4iIHTvc

Japan's core inflation steady above BOJ target: https://reut.rs/48Z8mQH

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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