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Japan blockbuster Q2 GDP growth, BOJ correct in hiking



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  • Japan Q2 GDP sees blockbuster 3.1% growth annualised, follows Q1 -2.3%

  • Growth of "only" 2.1% eyed, data much better than expected

  • CAPEX +0.9% q/q and as eyed, first rise in two quarters

  • Private consumption +1.0% q/q, +0.5% eyed, first rise in 5 quarters

  • Rise in consumption much better than expected, base in for further rises?

  • GDP deflator on high side at 3.0% y/y, growth + inflation = hawkish BOJ

  • Seems BOJ hike at end-July was the correct move, more hikes this year?

  • Very possible given much better growth, still high inflation

  • See nP8N3JA03Y, nP8N3JM0FN, nL1N3K118Y, for more click on FXBUZ


Japan's Q1 GDP fell less than first reported: https://reut.rs/45eJP8n

(Haruya Ida is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)

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