Bank Indonesia's immediate focus is stability as Trump victory creates global uncertainties
Global growth prospect dims on risk of trade war -governor
BI's short term focus on stability -gov
Indonesia's 2025 GDP growth seen 4.8%-5.6%
Adds context, quotes throughout
By Fransiska Nangoy and Stefanno Sulaiman
JAKARTA, Nov 29 (Reuters) -Indonesia's central bank will focus monetary policy in the short term on keeping the rupiah stable while monitoring for opportunities to further lower its main interest rate in 2025, Governor Perry Warjiyo said on Friday.
Global economic uncertainties remain high following Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. election, which is seen affecting global growth and the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy moves, Warjiyo told an annual dinner with financial executives and government officials.
Bank Indonesia (BI) cut interest rates in September, just ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve starting its easing cycle, but since then has held key rate at 6%.
"The re-election of President Trump with his 'U.S. first' policies could bring major changes to the geopolitical landscape and the world's economy, such as high tariffs and even trade wars," Warjiyo said.
"Global growth will decline in 2025 and 2026. The U.S. is improving, China and Europe will slow down, India and Indonesia's performance to remain relatively well."
The BI will keep interest rates steady for now as global turbulence requires the bank to focus on stabilisation of the rupiah, Warjiyo said.
"We continue to monitor room for further BI rate reduction," he added.
BI has so far held back from further easing due to increased volatility in the rupiah.
The Indonesian currency IDR=, which is sensitive to changes in risk appetite, has come under pressure amid capital outflows as markets reacted to Trump's victory.
BI will use its other instruments to support growth and strengthen coordination with the government to withstand external shocks, Warjiyo said.
BI expects Indonesia's economy to grow by 4.8%-5.6% in 2025 and 4.9%-5.7% in 2026, while targeting inflation to remain within the target range of 1.5% to 3.5% until 2026.
It forecasts a current account deficit of 0.5% to 1.3% of GDP next year and expected to widen to 0.6% to 1.4% of GDP in 2026.
Loan growth is seen at 11% to 13% annually in the next two years, according to the central bank forecasts, up from an estimated 10%-12% this year.
Reporting by Fransiska Nangoy, Stefanno Sulaiman;
Additional reporting by Gayatri Suroyo; Editing by Ros Russell and Susan Fenton
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