Individual Investor pessimism pulls back - AAII
Main U.S. indexes modestly green; Nasdaq out front, up ~0.4%
Financials lead S&P 500 sector gainers; Real Est weakest group
Dollar lower; crude down ~2%; gold up >1.5%; bitcoin up >3%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield dips to ~3.90%
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INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR PESSIMISM PULLS BACK - AAII
Pessimism among individual investors over the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market retreated in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey. Both optimism and neutral sentiment rose.
Meanwhile, about half of investors surveyed described the current state of the economy as "Mixed."
AAII reported that bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, fell 8.6 percentage points to 28.9%. Bearish sentiment is below its historical average of 31.0% for the eighth time in 10 weeks.
Bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, edged up 2.0 percentage points to 42.5%. Bullish sentiment is above its historical average of 37.5% for the 40th time in 41 weeks.
Neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 6.6 percentage points to 28.6%. Neutral sentiment is below its historical average of 31.5% for the sixth consecutive week.
With these changes, the bull-bear spread gained 10.6 percentage points to 13.7% from 3.1% last week. The bull-bear spread is above its historical average of 6.5% for the 14th time in 15 weeks.
In this week’s special question, AAII asked its members how they would describe the current state of the economy.
Here is AAII 's graphic showing how they responded:
(Terence Gabriel)
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AAII08152024 https://tmsnrt.rs/3X3fyqy
AAIISQ08162024 https://tmsnrt.rs/4cpGbKB
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