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India's Bajaj Auto could face headwinds from weak African exports, rich valuations



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** Shares of India's Bajaj Auto BAJA.NS down 2.4% at 9,456 rupees; top losers in Nifty 50 Index .NSEI, which is down 0.3%

** At least seven analysts trim recommendations on stock, while 15 analysts raise TP; media TP at 9,655 rupees vs 8,580 rupees a month ago


EXPORT GROWTH CONCERNS REMAIN


** ICICI Securities (cuts to "reduce" from "hold", and trims PT to 8,606 rupees from 8,660 rupees) says export recovery sluggish amid currency availability issues in key markets such as Africa; lowers FY25E/FY26E volumes by 4%/8%, respectively

** Axis Capital ("sell"; PT 7,500 rupees) says Africa exports remained weak, which is a risk. Rich valuations at

32x/28x FY25/26E core EPS, with limited room to absorb disappointment, especially in light of slower-than-expected recovery in exports

** Ambit Capital ("sell"; raises PT to 9,844 rupees from 9,652 rupees) says earnings growth will moderate from here, prefers Eicher Motors EICH.NS than BAJA on higher earnings growth, led by margin expansion on similar volume growth






Reporting by Sethuraman NR in Bengaluru

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