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Gold: still a good Christmas gift



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STOXX 600 down 1.5%

Fed signals slower pace of cuts

Riksbank cuts; BoJ, Norges Bank hold

BoE to come

S&P futures edge up after Wednesday fall

Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com


GOLD: STILL A GOOD CHRISTMAS GIFT

Have you left your Christmas shopping until the last minute?

Maybe it's time to follow Melchior's lead and look at giving the gift of gold this year.

The yellow metal has had a stellar year, rising 27% in 2024, on track for its biggest yearly rise since 2010.

And while RBC doesn't believe this year's gains will repeat next year, their outlook calls for a "mildly higher" price in 2025.

"Looking out into 2025, we recognize the macro headwinds but view healthy central bank demand, uncertainty, and investor allocations as key," writes RBC.

Those macro headwinds include a new rate outlook, strong dollar, Trump's policies and their related and unrelated unknowns, and widespread uncertainties across geopolitics and markets.

One of the main drivers is likely to be central bank demand which has "been strong" and will "likely continue in the coming years", RBC notes.

"Prices may be high, but the desire for gold allocations has not changed (diversification, de-dollarization, etc.), and China being back to buying supports the broader narrative," they say.

For 2025, they forecast gold at $2,771/oz, implying about 6% upside from current levels.


(Samuel Indyk)

*****


THURSDAY'S OTHER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:

FED SENDS STOXX 600 TO NEAR THREE-WEEK LOW CLICK HERE

EUROPE BEFORE THE BELL: FUTURES SLIDE ON FED OUTLOOK CLICK HERE

JAPAN HOLDS, BANK OF ENGLAND UP NEXT CLICK HERE


US Dollar Index https://reut.rs/3ZMxNR8

European shares dive after Fed https://reut.rs/3Dh7vij

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