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Currencies ease as dollar firms, markets await ECB rate decision



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Currencies ease as dollar firms, markets await ECB rate decision</title></head><body>

By Anita Komuves

BUDAPEST, Oct 16 (Reuters) -Central European currencies were a touch weaker on Wednesday, hovering near recently hit lows, as the U.S. dollar strengthened and investors awaited a rate decision and comments from the European Central Bank (ECB).

The Hungarian forint EURHUF= was 0.06% softer versus the euro at 400.3, trading on the weaker side of the psychologically important level of 400 once again after briefly strengthening past it in the previous session.

"The forint is weakening a bit, but it is holding up pretty well if we look at how much the dollar firmed," an FX trader in Budapest said.

The dollar hovered near two-month peaks versus major peers, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will proceed with modest interest rate cuts and a rise in betting odds for a second Donald Trump presidency.

ECB rate cut expectations supported the forint, traders said, as it would change the rate differential to the advantage of the Hungarian currency. The ECB's decision is due on Thursday, with markets pricing in a 25-basis-point cut.

Hungarian central bank Deputy Governor Barnabas Virag last week flagged a likely pause in the easing of the bank's main interest rate, which remains the European Union's highest alongside Romania's.

Elsewhere, the Czech crown EURCZK= eased 0.12% to 25.25 per euro, giving up some of its recent gains and drifting back towards two-month lows hit earlier this month.

The Polish zloty EURPLN=, the region's best performer so far this year, was 0.05% lower versus the euro at 4.294.

A possible conflict with the European Union over migration could, however, pose a risk for the currency, Commerzbank said.

"The zloty had enjoyed a sustained rally since the time of the general election on the assumption that Donald Tusk had enough EU connections to promptly free all the EU funds," it added.

"The negation of this idea under practical political constraints comes as another negative for the zloty’s valuation."

Prime Minister Tusk said on Saturday that Poland plans to temporarily suspend the right to asylum as part of a strategy to limit illegal migration amid tensions with Belarus.




CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 0959 CET






CURRENCIES







Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




trade

close

change

in 2024

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.2500

25.2190

-0.12%

-2.17%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

400.3000

400.0500

-0.06%

-4.28%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2940

4.2920

-0.05%

+1.18%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9760

4.9764

+0.01%

-0.03%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9400

117.0300

+0.08%

+0.26%


Note: daily change

calculated from



1800 CET












Latest

Previous

Daily

Change





close

change

in 2024

.PX

Prague

.PX

1603.01

1608.5700

-0.35%

+13.37%

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

74561.84

74736.55

-0.23%

+23.00%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

2327.30

2322.68

+0.20%

-0.67%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

17502.20

17507.68

-0.03%

+13.86%













Spread

Daily






vs Bund

change in


Czech Republic





spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.3490

0.0100

+115bps

+3bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.6260

-0.0360

+156bps

-1bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.8980

-0.0190

+170bps

+1bps


Poland






PL2YT=RR

2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.9010

-0.0220

+270bps

-1bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.1980

-0.0160

+313bps

+1bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.4550

-0.0650

+325bps

-4bps










FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS








3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank


Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.77

3.46

3.26

4.15


Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.18

5.89

5.96

6.34


Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.76

5.41

4.93

5.85


Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices






**************************************************************






Reporting by Anita Komuves in Budapest; Editing by Sumana Nandy

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/ Spot FX rates Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX= Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX= Other news and reports World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
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