Canadian dollar posts third straight monthly decline as economy slows
Loonie gains 0.1% against the U.S. dollar
For the month, the currency loses 0.5%
Canadian economy grows 1% in the third quarter
10-year yield hits a six-week low
By Fergal Smith
TORONTO, Nov 29 (Reuters) -The Canadian dollar edged higher against its U.S. counterpart on Friday but was still headed for a weekly and monthly decline as domestic gross domestic product data bolstered bets for an outsized interest rate cut from the Bank of Canada in December.
Canada's economy grew at an annualized rate of 1% in the third quarter, undershooting the Bank of Canada's forecast of 1.5%, after growing 2.2% in the prior quarter.
"I think from the bank's perspective, this is going to add to the case for another 50 basis point cut in December," said Robert Both, Canadian macro strategist at TD Securities.
Investors see a roughly 50% chance the BoC opts for a second consecutive unusually large half-percentage-point move at the Dec. 11 policy announcement, up from 31% before the data, swaps market data showed. A 25-basis-point step is fully priced into the market. 0#CADIRPR
The Canadian dollar CAD= strengthened 0.1% to 1.40 per U.S. dollar, or 71.43 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3981 to 1.4045.
For the week, the loonie was down 0.1%, while it was down 0.5% for the month, its third straight monthly decline.
On Tuesday, the currency touched a 4-1/2-year low at 1.4177, buffeted by the threat of hefty U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada.
The U.S. dollar .DXY weakened on Friday against a basket of major currencies as hotter-than-expected Tokyo inflation data supported bets for a Bank of Japan interest rate hike next month.
The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, added to its weekly decline, dipping 0.1% to $68.65 a barrel, on easing concern over supply risks from the Israel-Hezbollah conflict.
Canadian bond yields moved lower across the curve. The 10-year CA10YT=RR was down 7.7 basis points at 3.149%, after earlier touching its weakest level since Oct. 18 at 3.141%.
Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Aurora Ellis
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.