BOJ saves the day
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Stella Qiu.
Is the Bank of Japan taking the mantle of market saviour from the Fed? Nikkei investors sure hope so.
After falling 3% early in the day, the Nikkei rebounded 2.8% and was almost back where it started before Monday's 13% crash.
BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida saved the day, and perhaps the fate of the yen carry trade, by saying the central bank wouldn't hike interest rates when markets are so volatile.
The dollar surged 2% on the yen, Japanese yields slipped, and markets pared the probability of a BOJ October rate rise to just a one-in-four chance. 0#BOJWATCH
That was a marked turn from last week when the BOJ hiked rates by 15 basis points and flagged more tightening ahead, which led to a surge in the yen and the unravelling of the yen carry trade - where investors borrow the currency at low rates to buy higher-yielding assets.
Global investors reacted positively to the BOJ's new guidance. European stock markets are set to rally sharply when they open, with EUROSTOXX 50 futures STXEc1 firming 1.3% and FTSE futures FFic1 adding 1.2%.
Nasdaq futures NQc1 turned 1.1% higher, having edged lower earlier in the day on a 12% dive in AI darling Super Micro Computer SMCI.O after it missed earnings estimates.
Pretty much everything rose. Even trade data from China contained a pleasant surprise on the strength of domestic demand as imports beat expectations. Export growth missed forecasts, but were still up solidly.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
-- Earnings from Glencore, Coca Cola, Puma, Nova Nordisk
-- Trade data from Germany, UK house prices for July
-- ECB board member Elizabeth McCaul appears in a panel discussion, ECB's Olli Rehn gives opening speech at Bank of Finland seminar
"Summer lull"? Not with this volatility https://reut.rs/3LPb54s
By Stella Qiu; Editing by Edmund Klamann
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.