Base rate cuts not a cure for real estate firms
STOXX 600 up 0.8% to new peak
DAX and FTSE also at records
Wall St futures higher
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com
BASE RATE CUTS NOT A CURE FOR REAL ESTATE FIRMS
As expected, Sweden's central bank made its first rate cut since 2016 on Wednesday but Barclays says that cuts alone are not the panacea for the struggling real estate firms, and encourages focus on fundamentals instead.
"The day after base rate cuts ... focus on fundamentals," the British bank says in a note, as real estate stocks are down and swap rates moved higher.
Castellum CAST.ST, seen as a rate hedge, closed 0.11% down on Wednesday and is 1.3% lower by 0832 GMT.
"Our long-held view that base rate cuts don't matter due to the inverted rate curve appears to be vindicated," Barclays adds.
The analysts, who stick to their "neutral" view on European real estate, say that the steepening of the rate curve that they anticipated has started, and expect this to continue.
"We believe the market can and will now focus increasingly on property and company fundamentals, rather than be beholden to the gyrations in the rates market," they say.
Still, it sees the fundamentals as deteriorating for office-exposed landlords, and as inflation is easing, says it believes the inflation-linked revenue growth will not offset higher finance costs.
It cuts Castellum to "underweight" from "overweight" to reflect the weakening operational performance and declining earnings.
(Anna Pruchnicka)
*****
FOR FRIDAY'S OTHER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
NEW RECORDS FOR STOXX 600, FTSE 100 AND DAX; CAC CLOSING IN ON FRESH PEAK CLICK HERE
EUROPEAN SHARES SET TO END STRONG WEEK ON A HIGH CLICK HERE
RATE CUT HOPES FAN RISK RALLY CLICK HERE
($1 = 0.9282 euros)
($1 = 0.9276 euros)
FTSE 100 Index https://reut.rs/3wjF0h5
STOXX, FTSE, DAX hit new peaks STOXX, FTSE, DAX hit new peaks https://tmsnrt.rs/47tgPt5
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
