Asian currencies rise ahead of US election, Fed rate decision
.
Bank Negara Malaysia to keep rates steady on Wednesday - Reuters poll
S.Korean won gains 0.6%, Singapore dollar rises 0.7%
South Korean stocks rise 1.5%
By John Biju and Ayushman Ojha
Nov 4 (Reuters) - Most Asian currencies advanced on Monday as the dollar took a breather at the start of a week packed with the U.S. presidential election, a Federal Reserve meeting, and inflation data from Asian countries.
The Philippine peso PHP= was up 0.5%, while the South Korean won KRW=KFTC and the Singapore dollar SGD= climbed 0.6% and 0.7% respectively. They had posted consecutive weekly declines in the prior week.
The dollar =USD was down 0.3% as investors braced for the U.S. election on Tuesday and the Fed's rate decision on Thursday.
Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump remain virtually tied in opinion polls , while a 25 basis points Fed rate cut has been fully priced in.
"Last week was basically the dollar rallying on greater expectations of a Trump victory. Now, I think as we get closer to the actual event, there's a little bit of rebalancing going on," said Robert Carnell, regional head of research, Asia Pacific, at ING.
Even if Trump wins, which would normally be dollar positive, the initial response might not be for a dollar rally. Hence, investors are squaring their positions, he said.
Meanwhile, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS rose 0.7%. Equities in South Korea .KS11 jumped 1.5% while those in Singapore .STI rose 0.6%.
Investors are also awaiting inflation data from South Korea, the Philippines, Thailand, and Taiwan, all due this week, to gauge the rate outlook of their central banks.
Last month, the Bank of Korea, Bank of Thailand and Bank Indonesia kicked off their easing cycles, while the Philippine central bank reduced rates by another 25 bps.
However, most Asian central banks will ease more slowly than the Fed over the coming year as their inflation remains broadly within targets and growth is still resilient, a Reuters poll showed.
"A stronger dollar makes the local central banks in the Asia region just a little bit more hesitant about easing their own policy rate. They don't want to cut and then just see the benefits of that washed away in a weak currency, which then ends up bringing in more inflation," said Carnell.
The Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates steady at 3.0% on Wednesday, and hold it there at least through 2025.
Equities in Malaysia .KLSE climbed 0.6% while the ringgit MYR=, one of the best performing currencies this year, was up 0.3%.
Elsewhere, Taiwan shares .TWII rose 0.7%, and the Taiwanese dollar TWD=TP climbed 0.4%.
Bucking the trend, stocks in Philippines .PSI and Indonesia .JKSE, fell 0.4% and 0.7%, respectively.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Japan cuts growth forecast again for current fiscal year on weak exports
** Taiwan reports rise in Chinese military activity as US election nears
Asian currencies and stocks at 0428 GMT | ||||||
COUNTRY | FX RIC | FX DAILY % | FX YTD % | INDEX | STOCKS DAILY % | STOCKS YTD % |
Japan | JPY= | +0.81 | -7.04 | .N225 | - | 13.71 |
China | CNY=CFXS | +0.54 | +0.09 | .SSEC | 0.53 | 10.57 |
India | INR=IN | +0.01 | -1.02 | .NSEI | -0.88 | 10.85 |
Indonesia | IDR= | -0.06 | -2.10 | .JKSE | -0.83 | 2.34 |
Malaysia | MYR= | +0.34 | +5.28 | .KLSE | 0.56 | 10.88 |
Philippines | PHP= | +0.53 | -4.75 | .PSI | -0.44 | 10.25 |
S.Korea | KRW=KFTC | +0.61 | -5.98 | .KS11 | 1.47 | -2.84 |
Singapore | SGD= | +0.74 | +0.26 | .STI | 0.56 | 10.35 |
Taiwan | TWD=TP | +0.40 | -3.47 | .TWII | 0.67 | 27.89 |
Thailand | THB=TH | +0.56 | +1.30 | .SETI | 0.14 | 3.55 |
Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Reporting by John Biju in Bengaluru; Editing by Varun H K
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
