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Technical Analysis – Is it time for gold to emerge above key resistance?



  • Gold trades higher, but withing a broader sideways range

  • RSI and MACD imply strengthening upside momentum

  • A break above 2388 could add to the bullish case

  • A dip below 2340 may allow declines within the range

Gold is moving higher today, after hitting support near the 2,450 zone yesterday. The precious metal is trading above the short-term uptrend line drawn from the low of June 26, but in the bigger picture, it remains within the sideways range that’s been containing most of the price action since the beginning of April.

The RSI rebounded from near its 50 line, while the MACD, although still below its trigger line, shows signs of bottoming slightly above zero. Both indicators suggest that the precious metal is gaining upside momentum, increasing the chances for a test of the upper bound of the range 2,388 soon.

That said, the move that could solidify the supremacy of the bulls may be a decisive break above 2,388. A move above that obstacle could pave the way towards the high of May 22 at 2,426, or the peak of the day before at 2,434. If the bulls are not willing to stop there either, then they may try reaching the record high of 2,450.

On the downside, a dip below 2,340 could trigger decent declines within the aforementioned sideways range. The bears may initially aim for the 2,320 zone, the break of which could allow extensions towards the lower end of the range at 2,290.

To recap, gold is trending north in the very short-term, but in the bigger picture, it remains within a sideways range that’s been in play since April. For the outlook to brighten, a decisive break above the range’s upper bound of 2,388 may be needed.

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