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Technical Analysis – BTCUSD is held down by 200-day SMA



  • BTCUSD dropped to a fresh 4-month low last week

  • Attempts for recovery hit a wall at 200-day SMA

  • Oscillators improve slightly, but still negatively tilted

BTCUSD (Bitcoin) has been experiencing a strong selloff since the beginning of June, retreating to its lowest level since February 27. Although the price managed to find its feet and attempted to recoup some losses, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) has been acting as an impenetrable ceiling.

Should Bitcoin violate that crucial hurdle, immediate resistance could be found at 59,500, a region that acted as strong support in March and April. Higher, attention could shift towards the July resistance of 63,800. Conquering that barricade, the bulls could attack the April resistance of 67,270.

On the flipside, if the 200-day SMA holds its ground, the price could reverse back towards the April bottom of 56,483. Lower, the decline could come to halt at the recent four-month bottom of 53,520. In case of a downside violation, the February support territory of 50,700 could be the next line of defence.

In brief, BTCUSD has come under severe selling pressure lately, while its attempts for recovery have been repeatedly repelled by the 200-day SMA. Clearly, a failure to reclaim that crucial obstacle could speed up the retreat.

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