XM does not provide services to residents of the United States of America.

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD tumbles after RBNZ’s decision



  • NZDUSD finds support at 200-day SMA

  • Prices have been heading lower over the last month

  • Stochastics and RSI keep downside move

NZDUSD is posting notable losses after the RBNZ’s policy decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 5.5%. The pair is pausing its decline near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6070 and the short-term ascending trend line.

Technically, the stochastic oscillator posted a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines near the overbought region, while the RSI is heading south below the neutral threshold of 50. Additionally, the 20- and 50-day SMAs are moving lower, with the potential for a downside crossover.

Immediate support could be found near the 0.6050 level before tumbling to the 0.5980 barrier and switching the outlook to a more bearish one.

On the other hand, traders should look to the previous peak at 0.6150 as the first resistance after a successful bounce off the uptrend line, before resting near the 0.6220 obstacle again. A penetration of this level would add optimism for more buying interest until 0.6280, registered in January.

To summarize, NZDUSD has been in a bearish wave since it topped at 0.6220 in the very short term, but over the last three months, it has posted higher highs and higher lows.

Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.

All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.

Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Your capital is at risk. Leveraged products may not be suitable for everyone. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.