Technical Analysis – AUDCAD examines potential pivot point
AUDCAD continues to trim gains, reaches key support level
Technical picture reflects oversold conditions
AUDCAD erased more than half of its October-December upleg to find support around the November 13 low of 0.8755, which overlaps with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the bullish wave.
Both the RSI and the stochastic oscillators hint at oversold conditions, signaling that the bearish action could soon stabilize. If that proves to be the case, the bulls might again fight for a close above the 50% Fibonacci level of 0.8813 and then battle the tricky region around the 38.2% Fibonacci mark of 0.8872, where the 200- and 20-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are converging towards. A successful extension higher could boost sentiment, lifting the price up to the 23.6% Fibonacci of 0.8945.
Should the floor at 0.8755 collapse, the price could tumble towards the 78.6% Fibonacci of 0.8670 and perhaps test the 0.8630 constraining zone too. A break below the latter point could pick up steam towards the 3½-year low of 0.8563 registered in September and then examine the broken resistance trendline drawn from January 2023 at 0.8535.
In summary, the latest downfall in AUDCAD seems overdone, making an upside correction possible in the coming sessions. Yet, whether the pair will find enough buyers to overcome key resistance levels on the upside remains to be seen.Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
