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Technical Analysis – US 500 index preserves positive objectives

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 9:34 am GMT

US 500 stock index (Cash) seems to be aiming its course towards unfamiliar territory above the all-time high of 3,396.64. The price has been steadily heading higher after finding traction again at the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) and the Ichimoku cloud in previous sessions. Aiding this progression from the 2,995 level are the advancing Ichimoku lines and the positive bearing in the SMAs. That said, the index’s positive momentum has weakened slightly as suggested in the short-term oscillators. The [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY fails to improve positive picture

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 8:46 am GMT

USDJPY is testing the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart and the upper boundary of the Bollinger band, remaining around the 106.00 handle. The RSI indicator is pointing slightly up in the positive territory, while the stochastic oscillator is in process to post the bullish crossover within the %K and %D lines below the 80 level. A successful jump above the 106.07 resistance could open the way for the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold’s stability may not be a worry above 2,000-1,939 zone

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 7:32 am GMT

Gold finished Friday’s session in the red after pulling slightly below its new record high of 2,079, but overall managed to add another constructive week for the ninth consecutive time. In the daily chart, technical signals remain cautiously bullish. The RSI hit a wall near its previous high in the overbought zone and reversed south, the Stochastics are also pointing downwards after printing a lower high, while the MACD, although above its red signal line, seems to be losing momentum. [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD returns lower after touching 27-month high above 1.1900

Posted on August 10, 2020 at 6:19 am GMT

EURUSD had been in a strong bullish rally until it reached a new 27-month high of 1.1915 on Thursday, that caused the pair to correct down below the 1.1800 round number. The technical indicators are losing momentum as the MACD completed a bearish crossover with its trigger line, while the RSI is hovering near the 70 level, failing to improve any positive actions. The 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are still heading upwards. Immediate support for further downside [..]

Week Ahead – Dollar eyes US stimulus talks, retail sales; UK GDP and RBNZ in focus too

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 1:10 pm GMT

Congressional talks in the United States on a new virus relief package will dominate the market headlines yet again in the coming week as the durability of the latest risk-on episode rests on a deal being reached. But investors will also be keeping a close watch on US retail sales figures to gauge how well consumption is holding up amid renewed virus restrictions. Progress on the recovery will be preoccupying the pound too as UK GDP numbers for Q2 and [..]

Technical Analysis – US 30 index stalls positive push above 200-SMA

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 12:46 pm GMT

US 30 stock index (Cash) recently thrusted above the 26,880 level, that being the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 29,582 to 18,170, after finding some traction from the 200-day SMA at 26,295. The index’s positive momentum has slowed slightly as reflected in the short-term oscillators. The MACD, holding relatively steady in the positive region, has barely moved above its red trigger line, while the RSI has reversed ahead of the 70 mark. Furthermore, the Stochastics are located [..]

Daily Market Comment – Trump fans the geopolitical flames ahead of NFP

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 10:49 am GMT

Nonfarm payrolls to set the tone for markets, along with stimulus negotiations Trump fires another salvo at Beijing, bans transactions with Tencent, moves to delist Chinese firms Geopolitical worries keep dollar alive, Wall Street set to snap 5-day winning streak Nonfarm payrolls: A most uncertain one The main event today will be the US employment report for July. The consensus is for the US economy to have added another 1.6 million jobs, pushing the unemployment rate down to 10.5%, from [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD between a bearish formation and a bullish breakout

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 9:53 am GMT

GBPUSD topped around 1.3169 twice in a week and reversed south, raising worries that the bulls may soon give up the game in the four-hour chart. While the weakness in the RSI and the MACD is justifying the latest negative move, only a sustainable downfall below 1.2980 would confirm a bearish double top formation and hence, trigger sharper losses towards 1.2850. Before that, a break below the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) currently at 1.3060 and into the Ichimoku cloud should also take place. In the positive [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD downside risks remain despite positive signals

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 9:07 am GMT

USDCAD is maintaining its negative course below the restrictive line, although it has found some footing at the 1.3232 level. The negatively charged Ichimoku lines and the recent bearish crossover of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) by the 50-day one may keep the negative bias in play for a while longer. That said, the recent improvement in price is reflected in the short-term oscillators, which promote additional advances. The MACD, in the negative region, has moved above its red [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPJPY consolidates gains after triangle breakout

Posted on August 7, 2020 at 7:23 am GMT

GBPJPY stabilized around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the 147.94-124.00 downleg after closing above a symmetrical triangle. The cautious mood in the price is also reflected in momentum indicators as the RSI and the Stochastics are weakening after peaking in the overbought area, while the MACD seems to be losing steam above its red signal line. That said, the rising 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which is heading for a bullish crossover up through the longer-term 200-day SMA, boosts optimism that the [..]

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