News

Week Ahead – Tracking the recovery: is Europe lagging the US?

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 12:54 pm GMT

The latest flash PMI releases will dominate the economic agenda next week as the recovery in the United States appears to be picking up a gear, while the European rebound may have hit a snag. The tables have been turning lately in the US vs Eurozone recovery story, threatening to unravel the euro rally. Trying to predict the economic comeback from the pandemic will also be preoccupying policymakers at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand at their September meeting amid [..]

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD battles resistance band; bullish bias persists

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 11:54 am GMT

NZDUSD is clashing with the 0.6789 to 0.6800 resistance band following its latest climb from 0.6600, which produced a 17½-month high. The recent pickup in the 50- and 100-period simple moving averages (SMAs) suggest further appreciation in the pair, while the merging Ichimoku lines continue to aid the positive drive in price. The short-term oscillators point to a slight weakness in positive sentiment. The RSI and the stochastic oscillator reflect the struggle in the price to overcome the resistance trench. [..]

Daily Market Comment – BoE clips pound’s wings, equities brace for turbulence

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 10:41 am GMT

Sterling capsizes after BoE opens door to negative rates Fed disappointment torments equities, but dollar doesn’t get the memo Market turmoil might continue today amid major option expiries Crude oil stages heroic comeback on supply hopes Bank of England does another policy U-turn The BoE injected another dose of volatility into British assets yesterday after it announced that it is studying the implementation of negative interest rates, just six weeks after it downplayed this policy as ineffective. It seems that [..]

Technical Analysis – US 30 index rebounds on 50-day SMA; bullish mode still active

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 8:53 am GMT

The US 30 index has rebounded somewhat after falling to THE 50-day simple moving average (SMA) but momentum indicators now suggest that market sentiment might get worse before getting better again as the RSI is flattening near the neutral threshold of 50 and the MACD is holding below its trigger line near the zero level. If the price manages to hold above 27,324 the index may rest around the 29,210 resistance. A decisive close above the latter could reach the [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD conveys a dominant negative bias

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 8:16 am GMT

USDCAD has somewhat paused after the pullback from the near 8-month low of 1.2993. The rebound in the price appears to be resting on the mid-Bollinger band at 1.3131, shadowed by a governing bearish structure. The dictating downward sloping 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) and the recently completed bearish crossover of the 200-day SMA, may deliver an extra boost to a southward result. Negative signals continue to reign within the short-term oscillators, backing a deteriorating picture. The stochastic [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD conveys a ruling negative forecast

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 7:57 am GMT

USDCAD has somewhat paused after the pullback from the near 8-month low of 1.2993. The rebound in the price appears to be resting on the mid-Bollinger band at 1.3131, shadowed by a governing bearish structure. The dictating downward sloping 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) and the recently completed bearish crossover of the 200-day SMA, may deliver an extra boost to a southward result. Negative signals continue to reign in the short-term oscillators, backing a deteriorating picture. The stochastic [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPJPY trapped below 136.00; short-term bias bearish

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 7:41 am GMT

GBPJPY gathered enough support around 134.55 and a former resistance trendline on Thursday to continue the intense battle with the 136.00 ceiling where the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the March rally coincide. The short-term bias, however, remains largely bearish as the red Tenkan-sen line maintains a negative slope below the blue Kijun-sen line. Also, the MACD continues to lose ground below its zero and signal lines, while the RSI seems unable to regain strength towards [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD dips after positive double top at 1.3525

Posted on September 18, 2020 at 6:58 am GMT

GBPUSD is in the process of recouping some of the previous couple of weeks’ losses, finding support at the 100-weekly simple moving average (SMA) and the 50-weekly SMA. Moreover, the pair posted a double top at the 1.3525 resistance level, penetrating the descending trend line to the upside on August 23. Technically, the RSI indicator is ticking north around the neutral threshold of 50 with weak momentum, while the MACD oscillator is slightly falling in the positive territory. If the price successfully moves above [..]

Technical Analysis – EURJPY deteriorates, plunging below moving averages

Posted on September 17, 2020 at 2:28 pm GMT

EURJPY has adopted a negative bearing after the pair withdrew from a fairly sideways one-month phase, below its simple moving averages (SMAs), and plummeting even past a formed support base of multiple lows. The Ichimoku lines hold an intact bearish demeanour, although they also reflect a pause in negative price action. However, the falling 50- and 100-period SMAs and the forthcoming bearish crossover of the 200-period SMA by the 100-period one, convey further weakness in the pair. That said, the [..]

Technical Analysis – Pinterest stock’s upside rally is fading, still bullish in medium term

Posted on September 17, 2020 at 12:47 pm GMT

Pinterest’s stock has been moving sideways above the Ichimoku cloud over the past two months, but in the medium-term picture it is still holding an upward direction, having printed a fresh record high of 39.31 on September 2. According to the MACD, positive momentum is fading as the indicator seems unable to climb back above its red signal line. The RSI is turning to the downside in the bullish zone, backing this view as well. In the positive scenario, where the price continues to expand above today’s [..]

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