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Technical Analysis – US 30 index dives after reaching 1-month high again

Posted on July 24, 2020 at 9:59 am GMT

The US 30 cash index is tumbling over the last couple of sessions in the 4-hour chart, penetrating the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) and moving towards the 100-period SMA. From the technical viewpoint, the RSI is falling beneath the neutral threshold of 50, while the MACD is losing momentum below its trigger line. More losses could take the index towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 24,556 to 27,171 at 26,174, which overlaps with the [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Concerns the US recovery is stalling ripple through markets

Posted on July 24, 2020 at 8:47 am GMT

Investors push the ‘risk off’ button amid faltering US recovery and monopoly probes into big tech Stocks pull back alongside commodity currencies, yen and gold climb But dollar can’t catch a break – strong euro and Fed expectations in play? Overall, this seems like a correction, not a trend reversal Risk aversion makes a rare comeback Global markets finally took note of the many risks around them on Thursday, amidst clearer signs that the US recovery is stalling, seething US-China [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDCAD trapped below trendline; targets June’s lows

Posted on July 24, 2020 at 7:28 am GMT

USDCAD was forced to shift south after the descending trendline and the 23.6% Fibonacci level of the 1.4667-1.3314 downleg held firm once again, with the price tumbling as low as 1.3350 on Thursday. The pair is currently consolidating its losses near the 1.3380 support area but the technical indicators suggest that the bears have not abandoned the sell-off yet; the MACD is strengthening to the downside and below its red signal line, while the RSI remains comfortably below its 50 neutral [..]

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Technical Analysis – EURJPY retreats after reaching 7-week high

Posted on July 23, 2020 at 12:33 pm GMT

EURJPY is on the sidelines after it reached a fresh seven-week high around 124.28 and it looks ready for a possible pull back. Technically, the RSI is returning lower after it climbed to the overbought zone, while the stochastic is heading south, both hinting for a downside retracement in the very short-term. Despite those signals, the short-term simple moving averages and the Ichimoku indicator are still suggesting an upside tendency. Immediate support to further declines may be taking place around [..]

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European PMIs: More good news for the euro? – Forex News Preview

Posted on July 23, 2020 at 12:23 pm GMT

With the EU recovery fund deal now in the rear-view mirror, euro traders will turn their sights to the Eurozone’s preliminary PMIs for July, due at 08:00 GMT Friday. Forecasts point to an uptick in all indices, reflecting the smooth re-opening process in Europe. If so, this would be another piece of good news for the high-flying euro, whose rally may still have room to run, especially if the Fed hurts the dollar next week.    Europe vs America? It’s [..]

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Technical Analysis – USDCHF surrenders to bears; nearby support eyed

Posted on July 23, 2020 at 10:44 am GMT

USDCHF is bearishly exposed to the nearby 0.9258 support level after failing to crawl above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the March rally last week. The technical indicators are framing a discouraging picture for the short-term too, as the price is further deviating below the downward-sloping 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the MACD is gaining negative momentum below its red signal line. The falling RSI, which is ready to cross below its 30 oversold mark is another negative [..]

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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY rebounds within symmetrical triangle

Posted on July 23, 2020 at 9:23 am GMT

GBPJPY curved up near the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the lower line of a big symmetrical triangle and towards a 6-week high of 136.60. The price also managed to close slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the 147.94-124.00 downleg on Wednesday, increasing the odds for another upturn. However, the upper part of the triangle is only a short distance away and with the help of the 200-day SMA near 137.38 it could damper any bullish actions. [..]

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Daily Market Comment – Euro takes no prisoners, dollar falls apart

Posted on July 23, 2020 at 9:03 am GMT

Dollar slide accelerates despite escalating US-China tussle, euro takes flight Markets generally in a cheerful mood, helped by signs Congress is moving closer to a compromise Gold trades like a rocket amid tanking dollar, geopolitical unrest, and stimulus hopes Euro unchained The currency market continues to be dominated by the resurgent euro, which has been liberated from its fiscal shackles after EU leaders took a step closer towards risk sharing this week. Since FX is a zero-sum game in the [..]

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Technical Analysis – Gold tests 9-year high of 1,878; strongly positive

Posted on July 23, 2020 at 8:35 am GMT

Gold prices are flirting with the nine-year high of 1,878 again, endorsing the strong bullish structure. The RSI indicator is pointing north in the overbought territory, while the MACD is extending its upside movement above its trigger and zero lines in the short-term timeframe. Furthermore, the simple moving averages (SMAs) and the Ichimoku indicators are following the price action up. If the yellow metal strengthens its six-week bullish structure above the multi-year high of 1,878, it could touch the September 2011 high of 1,920. This [..]

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Technical Analysis – AUDUSD breaks above pre-virus levels and into overbought zone

Posted on July 23, 2020 at 7:18 am GMT

AUDUSD has successfully completed a V-shaped recovery from 17-year lows, unclocking a 15-month high of 0.7181 on Wednesday that is above its pre-crisis levels. The recent improvement has also violated the long-term downtrend that started from the 2018 peak of 0.8135, with the golden cross within the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) adding credence to the advance. The RSI and the Stochastics, however, have already entered the overbought territory, flagging that the bears might be around the corner. But the indicators have yet to hit a [..]

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