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Daily Market Comment – Dollar selloff eases; gold pulls back after setting fresh record

Posted on July 28, 2020 at 8:52 am GMT

Dollar crawls higher as Republicans finally unveil new stimulus proposal Gold touches $1,980/oz before pulling back, eyes dovish Fed Wall Street turns positive ahead of key earnings, likes weaker dollar Dollar attempts to end losing streak There was some respite for the US dollar on Tuesday as the heavy selling that has sunk the currency to more than two-year lows eased a little. The dollar index fell for the seventh straight session on Monday as signs of a faltering recovery [..]

Technical Analysis – EURJPY bulls look exhausted, but the trendline is still intact

Posted on July 28, 2020 at 7:18 am GMT

EURJPY has been struggling to retain strength above the 123.75 resistance area over the past three days, and therefore unable to touch the 13-month high of 124.42. Some weakness is visible in momentum indicators, flagging that the pair could face downside pressure in the short-term; the RSI and the Stochastics seem to have found a turning point in the overbought territory, while the MACD has been rising at a softer pace lately. Still, sellers may not take control unless the steep ascending trendline that [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD unlocks 1.2900; holds in upward channel

Posted on July 28, 2020 at 6:37 am GMT

GBPUSD has been in a strong bullish tone for seven consecutive days, climbing to a more than four-month high of 1.2903. The pair is challenging the upper boundary of an upward sloping channel, which has been holding since the end of March. In momentum indicators, the MACD oscillator is holding above its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI is approaching the overbought territory, suggesting a possible pullback in the short-term timeframe. The Ichimoku lines are still pointing upwards, while the 20- and 40-day simple moving [..]

Australian CPI and China PMIs could add optimism for more gains in aussie – Forex News Preview

Posted on July 27, 2020 at 3:05 pm GMT

As markets deal with the real threat of surging coronavirus cases, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar will be looking at several indicators coming out this week and the following Monday out of Australia and China. The Australian inflation report is due on Wednesday at 0430 GMT, while China’s NBS and Caixin/Markit manufacturing PMIs are coming out on Friday (0430 GMT) and next Monday (0145 GMT), both of which come into the spotlight for traders. In the previous quarter, the annual inflation rate in Australia reached the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) target, for the first [..]

Technical Analysis – US 500 index spots bearish divergence; triangle in focus

Posted on July 27, 2020 at 12:23 pm GMT

The US 500 index (cash) stabilized near the 3,200 familiar support level after two consecutive bearish days. Previously, the market had printed a new higher high at 3,292, further strengthening the four-month old uptrend. However, the RSI seems to have registered a lower peak at the same time, increasing worries about a bearish divergence. The slowing MACD, which has slipped below its red signal line, is another discouraging signal. Selling orders could pick up momentum if the price drops below [..]

Fed meeting: A more cautious message – Forex News Preview

Posted on July 27, 2020 at 11:56 am GMT

The Federal Reserve will wrap up its latest meeting at 18:00 GMT Wednesday. No change in policy is expected, so the focus will be on Chairman Powell’s press conference at 18:30 GMT. With signs that the US recovery has flattened lately, Powell could adopt a more cautious tone, opening the door for more action in September. If so, that might be enough to accelerate the dollar’s freefall, though Thursday’s GDP numbers could provide some support. Under pressure The US [..]

Technical Analysis – USDJPY exits range area and tumbles to 4½-month lows

Posted on July 27, 2020 at 9:43 am GMT

USDJPY crashed out of the 118.15-106.00 range area and towards a 4 ½-month low of 105.37 on Monday, raising speculation that the sell-off may continue. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 112.1-101.17 downleg is currently supporting the market. But if it soon gives up, the price could decelerate to 105.00, while lower, the bears may pause around the 104.35 barrier, which is slightly below the 2019 trough. Meanwhile, the RSI and the stochastics in the four-hour chart look to have bottomed out [..]

Daily Market Comment – Gold reaches for the sky, euro soars too as dollar sags

Posted on July 27, 2020 at 8:51 am GMT

Uncertainty about US outlook pushes dollar to 22-month low, lifting gold and euro Precious metal hits all-time high as Sino-US tensions boost haven demand Stocks steadier after selloff; earnings and FOMC meeting in focus US virus cases could be slowing but dollar still rattled The US dollar plumbed fresh lows on Monday, slumping to the lowest in nearly two years against a basket of currencies, as investors shunned the world’s number one reserve currency in favour of the traditional safety [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold shines at a new record high after 9 years

Posted on July 27, 2020 at 7:36 am GMT

Gold stretched its unstoppable rally to uncharted territory on Monday and to a new top of 1,944 after easily surpassing the 2011 record high of 1,920. A downside correction or some consolidation would not be a big surprise in the short-term as the market is trading well into the overbought zone according to the rising RSI and the Stochastics which have already registered a bearish cross above 80. In this case, the 1,900 round number could immediately add footing under the price, deterring any [..]

Week Ahead – Fed meets as virus storm worsens; US and Eurozone set for historic GDP collapse

Posted on July 24, 2020 at 12:26 pm GMT

As US politicians squabble over the next fiscal stimulus bill and the country’s virus death toll ticks up again, markets may lean on the Federal Reserve next week for a quick fix. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will undoubtedly be the most eagerly awaited event of the week. But second quarter GDP prints out of the United States and the euro area will not be far behind as the full extent of the economic shock from COVID-19 is [..]

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