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Week ahead – Can nonfarm payrolls halt the dollar’s descent?

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 12:43 pm GMT

It’s a huge week ahead, with the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of England both announcing their rate decisions ahead of the all-important US employment data. For markets, the burning question is whether a decent payrolls report will be enough to halt the dollar’s relentless slide. The other variable that will impact most charts through the risk sentiment channel is whether Congress will reach a compromise on the new rescue package, and if so, how much they will [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD touches an almost 5-month high; RSI in overbought area

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 11:24 am GMT

GBPUSD advanced considerably to an almost five-month high of 1.3142 during Thursday’s session, posting six green candles in a row in the 4-hour chart. The MACD oscillator is strengthening its momentum above its trigger and zero lines, however, the RSI is flattening in the overbought territory, indicating a possible downside retracement. The Ichimoku indicators and the short-term moving averages (SMAs) are still suggesting more gains in the near term. In case the pair rises above the 1.3142 barrier, it could meet resistance at the 1.3200 psychological mark – last seen in March – before [..]

Technical Analysis – US 100 index not ready to give up bullish run

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 11:12 am GMT

The US 100 stock index (cash) drifted higher and above the previous peak of 10,743 on Thursday, hinting that it is not ready to give up its positive trajectory yet. The 10,950 resistance level is keeping the bulls busy in the four-hour chart today. Should it fail to hold, the index could advance towards its record highs registered around 11,069. At this point, it would be interesting to see if the market creates a bearish triple top formation or extends [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar resumes slide; stocks struggle but tech bucks the trend

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 8:55 am GMT

Dollar slumps again as US economy crashes, heads for fiscal cliff Euro, pound and aussie catapult higher but yen’s jump raises eyebrows European and Asian shares skid but big tech earnings lift Nasdaq Dollar on track for worst month in decade The US dollar is headed for its worst monthly performance in nearly 10 years as economic and political woes in America increasingly undermine the world’s reserve currency just as the outlook elsewhere brightens somewhat. The US economy collapsed by [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCAD rebounds near 1.3310 low; bearish cross in SMAs

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 7:22 am GMT

USDCAD found a strong rebound around the 1.3310 low heading towards the bearish crossover within the 20- and 40-day simple moving average (SMA) to the 200-day one. The RSI bounced off the oversold territory and is pointing south, while the %K line of the stochastic oscillator recorded a bullish cross with the %D line in the negative area. More advances could find immediate resistance at the SMAs, which are currently hovering near 1.3520. Particularly, a decisive close above this level [..]

Technical Analysis – USDCHF dives to 5 ½-year lows; brutal sell-off likely nears a bottom

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 6:33 am GMT

USDCHF is set to complete its sixth consecutive bearish week and close below the 0.9075 tough support area from May 2015, further confirming the break of a long-term range zone. The bias remains strongly negative as reflected by the downward-sloping simple moving averages (SMAs) and the weakening momentum indicators. However, hopes that the sell-off may soon lose steam are rising in the daily chart as the RSI is approaching a former base zone within oversold territory, while the MACD could [..]

Technical Analysis – Alphabet (Google) stock endorses positive picture beneath multi-year peak

Posted on July 30, 2020 at 1:37 pm GMT

Alphabet’s (Google) stock price has reversed from the multi-year high of 1,579.30, finding strong support at the 1,483 level where the Ichimoku cloud is currently holding. Positive sentiment appears to be reviving after the bounce on the supportive trend line pulled from the March 23 low of 1,009. Further backing this short-term view are the upward slopes of the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The RSI, in the positive area, is pointing north above the neutral threshold of 50, while the stochastic [..]

‘King dollar’ falls from grace, growth concerns to blame? – Special Report

Posted on July 30, 2020 at 11:34 am GMT

The world’s reserve currency took a beating lately, as the resurgence of infections in the US painted a darker outlook for the nation’s economic recovery and sparked expectations for more action by the Fed. But FX is a two-way game, and the dollar’s downfall wouldn’t have been so sharp without better news out of Europe bolstering the euro. Is this just the beginning of a larger rally in euro/dollar that is predicated on Europe outperforming the US? It seems so, [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD revisits 20-SMA after meeting 2-year top

Posted on July 30, 2020 at 10:04 am GMT

EURUSD is testing the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) on the downside in the 4-hour chart following the bounce off the more than a two-year high of 1.1805. Immediate support is likely to come from the 1.1695 barrier, which overlaps with the flat blue Kijun-sen line, as the technical indicators are endorsing a negative mode. Below that, the 40-period SMA at 1.1660 and the 1.1625 support could be in the spotlight. The MACD is weakening beneath its trigger line in the positive territory, and the stochastic is moving sharply lower, approaching the 20 level after the reversal [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed soothes stimulus anxiety; dollar pares losses

Posted on July 30, 2020 at 8:53 am GMT

Fed tight lipped on new forward guidance but reaffirms pledge on easy policy Stocks buoyed but cautious ahead of tech earnings, US GDP and jobs data Dollar falls on Powell remarks, then bounces back; gold slips Fed maintains course, ups pressure on Congress The Federal Reserve left monetary policy unchanged on Wednesday but warned of a “slowing in the pace of the recovery”. Having already implemented a full range of tools in its fight against the coronavirus, the Fed’s decision [..]

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