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Jump in New Zealand unemployment may curb soaring kiwi – Forex News Preview

Posted on August 4, 2020 at 6:19 am GMT

New Zealand’s jobless rate is expected to have surged to a 7-year high in the June quarter as employers struggle to maintain staff numbers in the face of the global pandemic. The data, due on Wednesday (Tuesday, 22:45 GMT), might not pose an obvious threat to the local dollar’s 4-month-long uptrend versus its US rival as New Zealand has so far avoided being hit by a second wave of COVID-19 infections. However, the rocky recovery in the country’s main trading [..]

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD uncovers footing at lower surface of Ichimoku cloud

Posted on August 3, 2020 at 3:27 pm GMT

AUDUSD seems to have found a foothold around the fortified 0.7063 trough. Reinforcing this area is the lower surface of the Ichimoku cloud and the 100-period simple moving average (SMA). Currently, the falling Ichimoku lines are reflecting weakness in positive momentum as are the short-term oscillators. That said, the red Tenkan-sen line has yet to complete a negative overlap of its blue Kijun-sen line. Moreover, the RSI is pointing upwards in the bearish zone, while the MACD is holding slightly [..]

Technical Analysis – US 500 index struggles to maintain positive picture around 5-month high

Posted on August 3, 2020 at 12:51 pm GMT

US 500 index (Cash) is encountering strong resistance around the recent five-month high of 3,292.24. The price appears to have somewhat stalled for now, something also suggested by the flattened Ichimoku lines. The short-term oscillators further reflect the pause in positive momentum. The MACD, in the positive region, continues to float just below its horizontal red trigger line while the RSI is holding in bullish territory. Additionally, the stochastic lines are rising in overbought territory, the RSI is pointing slightly [..]

Technical Analysis – US 500 index’s positive picture struggles around 5-month high

Posted on August 3, 2020 at 12:23 pm GMT

Technical Analysis – USDJPY gives up gains after quick rebound

Posted on August 3, 2020 at 9:43 am GMT

USDJPY hit a bottom at 104.18 and bounced aggressively towards the 106.00 area in an attempt to return to its previous range. The price, however, could not sustain gains above that level, retracing back to the 105.00 territory instead. The 38.2% Fibonacci of the 108.15-104.18 downleg at 105.70 could not successfully block the way to the downside either despite restricting it earlier in the day, and the pair is currently looking exposed to the 23.6% Fibonacci of 105.12 and the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar shrugs off ratings downgrade, RBA in focus

Posted on August 3, 2020 at 8:29 am GMT

Dollar rebounds on profit-taking and short-covering, despite Fitch downgrade – is this a dead cat? Stocks remain near highs as tech giants fly, next big move depends on Congress Australia tightens lockdown in Victoria, telegraphing dovish shift by RBA overnight Dollar shows signs of life, but is it just flows? The world’s reserve currency staged a comeback on Friday and continues to lick its wounds at the start of the new week, shrugging off a credit ratings downgrade by Fitch. [..]

Technical Analysis – EURUSD pivots from 26½-month high; bullish signals intact

Posted on August 3, 2020 at 7:43 am GMT

EURUSD retreated abruptly from the recent multi-year high of 1.1908 with sellers attempting to cement further negative moves. This can be viewed in the pause of the blue Kijun-sen line and the latest weakening of the short-term oscillators. Despite the stochastic oscillator having turned bearish and the current stalling in the MACD and the RSI, positive signals are still present, as the MACD, in the positive region, remains above its red trigger line and the RSI holds above 70. Moreover, [..]

Technical Analysis – Gold claims fresh highs; bearish divergence warns of retracement

Posted on August 3, 2020 at 7:32 am GMT

Gold inched to a fresh record high of 1,989 on Monday before pulling slightly back as rising infection cases and a turbulent budget debate in the US shifted more funds towards safe havens. The yellow metal has been in the green over the past eight weeks, building its two-year-old uptrend above its simple moving averages (SMAs). While the positive trajectory keeps the bias positive, some caution should be warranted as a bearish divergence seems to be forming between the price [..]

Technical Analysis – GBPAUD makes a U-turn after 1-year low

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 1:17 pm GMT

GBPAUD made U-turn after printing a bullish hammer candle near a one-year low of 1.7693 last week. Since then, the price managed to take the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) out of its way, switching the short-term bias to a positive one. The positive momentum in the RSI, which is accelerating above its 50 neutral mark, and the strengthening MACD are also reflecting a growing buying appetite. A close above 1.8377, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci of the [..]

Aussie braces for dovish tilt by RBA as Australia battles second virus wave – Forex News Preview

Posted on July 31, 2020 at 1:06 pm GMT

The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to stand pat again when it announces its latest policy decision on Tuesday at 0430 GMT. As the Australian economy climbs out of its worst recession in decades, policymakers are not anticipated to feel the urge to act in July. However, with the country continuing to see an alarming surge in new coronavirus cases, it may only be a matter of time before additional monetary support becomes necessary. Any hints on Tuesday that [..]

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