Daily Market Analysis

European Open Preview – Brexit stays in limbo; Fed decision eyed

Posted on January 30, 2019 at 9:00 am GMT

Fed decides; Powell’s remarks on the balance sheet may be crucial Pound slides as Brexit uncertainty seems set to remain elevated US-China trade talks commence; plethora of earnings and data also due FOMC meeting – emphasis on Powell’s balance sheet remarks The main event today will be the Fed policy decision at 1900 GMT, which will be followed by a press conference from Chairman Powell – as will every meeting from now on. No change in policy is expected, and [..]

European Open Preview – Companies sound warning on China; Brexit saga rumbles on

Posted on January 29, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

Risk appetite stays fragile as key companies sound the alarm on Chinese growth In the UK, it may be a deciding day for Brexit as lawmakers vote on various plans Earnings season continues in full throttle today, little on economic calendar Corporate warnings on China rattle stocks, drag oil lower US equity markets closed in the red, after industrial bellwether Caterpillar (-9.1%) reported disappointing earnings and chipmaker Nvidia (-13.8%) slashed its revenue forecasts, both companies pointing the finger to weakening [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar takes a hit on speculation for dovish Fed

Posted on January 28, 2019 at 9:04 am GMT

Reports the Fed may halt its balance sheet unwind hurt dollar, boost stocks Sterling marches higher ahead of decisive week for Brexit ECB President Draghi & BoE Governor Carney speak today Dollar slumps, equities advance on Fed reports & trade optimism It was a lively session for both currency and equity markets on Friday. The dollar slumped while stock indices climbed, amid renewed speculation that the Fed may turn even more dovish and the US-China talks could bear fruit soon. [..]

European Open Preview – Euro crumbles after ECB; Brexit hopes lift pound

Posted on January 25, 2019 at 9:12 am GMT

Euro closes lower on soft PMIs and ‘vigilant’ Draghi Stocks struggle amid conflicting trade signals Sterling advances on fresh Brexit reports Euro caves in after PMIs sink, Draghi ‘keeps his options open’ Euro/dollar had a particularly turbulent session on Thursday, before ultimately closing lower, caving in under the weight of disappointing PMIs out of the Eurozone and cautious commentary by the ECB. The preliminary manufacturing PMIs out of both Germany and France signaled contraction, revitalizing euro-area growth concerns, while a [..]

European Open Preview – ECB meets, all eyes on Draghi; pound soars

Posted on January 24, 2019 at 8:44 am GMT

ECB decision and Eurozone PMIs will chart euro’s course today Pound soars to 11-week highs versus dollar as no-deal Brexit risk fades Aussie tumbles on mounting speculation for RBA rate cut Stocks inch higher on strong earnings, dollar rebound stalls ECB meeting & Eurozone PMIs could make-or-break euro/dollar today It will be a crucial session for European assets and the euro itself today. The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its policy decision at 1245 GMT, which will be followed [..]

European Open Preview – Market sentiment stays fragile, but kiwi shines

Posted on January 23, 2019 at 9:21 am GMT

Risk appetite remains weak as trade and growth concerns resurface BoJ stays on hold, provides no new signals – yen yawns Kiwi outperforms as New Zealand’s inflation prints beat estimates Growth and trade woes keep investors on the defensive Market sentiment remained fragile on Tuesday, with investors cutting their exposure to riskier assets and diverting those funds into safer plays, amid resurgent worries around global growth and trade uncertainties. News that the US will proceed with the extradition of the [..]

European Open Preview – IMF adds more clouds to global outlook

Posted on January 22, 2019 at 9:23 am GMT

IMF downgrades growth forecasts; stocks feel the pinch May keeps “no-deal Brexit” scenario alive Oil reverses lower amid signs of slowing global economy Risk appetite stays bearish amid growing global growth fears Stocks in Asia had another weak session on Tuesday as pessimism about global growth kept funds away from risky assets, with Chinese equities losing more than 1%. A couple of hours after China reported its slowest quarterly economic expansion since the financial crisis and the lowest annual growth in 30 years, the International Monetary [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks extend trade gains; Brexit saga continues

Posted on January 21, 2019 at 9:08 am GMT

Reports China is willing to buy more US goods keep risk appetite buoyed Euro/dollar eyes key support area, looks to Thursday’s ECB meeting Today, focus turns back to the UK; PM May presents her alternative Brexit plan Fresh trade headlines propel stocks even higher, yen retreats US equity markets recorded another round of sizeable gains on Friday, with the likes of the S&P 500 (+1.32%) and the Dow Jones (+1.38%) establishing further distance above their respective 50-day moving averages. Meanwhile, [..]

European Open Preview – Trade hopes lift markets; pound cruises higher

Posted on January 18, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Stocks advance, safe-havens tumble on reports US could roll back China tariffs In the UK, sterling surges without Brexit news; sentiment is improving Today, Canadian inflation figures and Fed speakers may steal the show Stocks jump, yen softens on reports US may lift China tariffs Risk appetite firmed during the late US session on Thursday, following a WSJ report that US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin considered whether to lift the tariffs on Chinese products as a gesture of good faith during [..]

European Open Preview – May suffers Brexit defeat, can she survive no-confidence vote?

Posted on January 16, 2019 at 8:54 am GMT

Sterling recovers despite May’s Brexit defeat; no-confidence vote due today Euro inches down as ECB’s Draghi adopts an increasingly cautious bias Risk appetite stays firm; NAHB housing index today may be crucial Pound rebounds even as May suffers major defeat; no-confidence vote called British lawmakers overwhelmingly voted against PM May’s Brexit deal yesterday, with 432 rejecting the accord and 202 voting in favor, a much wider margin of defeat than rumored. The loss was so devastating that it led the [..]

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