Daily Market Analysis

European Open Preview – Sterling soars after Parliament rejects no-deal Brexit; Trump trade comments weigh on sentiment

Posted on March 14, 2019 at 9:12 am GMT

Pound continues rollercoaster ride amid more Brexit twists and turns at Westminster; MPs look set to vote in favour of delaying Brexit Chinese industrial production falls to 17-year low, dampening market sentiment President Trump says he is “in no rush” to complete trade talks with China, raising doubts about a March deal Pound leaps to 9-month high as no-deal Brexit is voted down The British currency jumped to a 9-month peak of $1.3383 on Wednesday after the UK Parliament voted [..]

European Open Preview – Pound swings wildly on May’s Brexit defeat; more votes to come

Posted on March 13, 2019 at 9:01 am GMT

Pound edges up, recovering from earlier sharp losses, as UK Parliament expected to vote against no-deal Brexit May’s yet another historic defeat leads equities into risk-off mood; global growth concerns and Boeing slump also weigh Aussie slips on weak consumer confidence Sterling likely to remain volatile as British MPs to vote on no-deal and delaying Brexit After rallying sharply to a high of $1.3288 yesterday, the pound dramatically reversed lower, hitting a low of $1.3003 as it became apparent that [..]

European Open Preview – Pound extends rally on revised Brexit deal but Parliament backing unclear

Posted on March 12, 2019 at 8:54 am GMT

Pound extends yesterday’s surge as May secures ‘legally binding’ changes to Brexit deal All eyes now on British Parliament amid doubts whether EU’s legal assurances will be enough Equities rally and yen retreats as risk appetite improves and on hopes of more stimulus in China Sterling back above $1.32 on hopes May can win MPs backing with revised deal The British pound was the star performer for a second day on Tuesday as UK prime minister, Theresa May, managed to [..]

European Open Preview – Draghi torpedoes euro; US payrolls coming up

Posted on March 8, 2019 at 8:56 am GMT

US nonfarm payrolls report dominates the agenda today ECB pushes back rate hike timing, announces new loans; euro crumbles Stocks continue to retreat, yen advances as China’s trade data disappoint Nonfarm payrolls in the limelight The spotlight today will be on the US employment report for February. Forecasts are quite optimistic across the board. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are expected to have risen by 180k, less than January’s astonishing 304k but still a strong number overall. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is anticipated [..]

European Open Preview – BoC throws in the towel, spotlight turns to ECB

Posted on March 7, 2019 at 8:57 am GMT

ECB meeting the main event today, focus will be on signals for loans to banks Loonie sinks to two-month lows as BoC abandons rate hike plans Elsewhere, stocks retreat without a clear catalyst – perhaps on profit taking Will the ECB join the chorus of dovish central banks today? All eyes will be on the highly-anticipated ECB policy decision today, and in particular on the updated economic forecasts and Draghi’s press conference at 13:30 GMT. The euro area economy continues [..]

European Open Preview – BoC decides as rate-hike bets evaporate; aussie drops

Posted on March 6, 2019 at 8:49 am GMT

Bank of Canada meets; markets seem to be expecting a major dovish pivot, which may not materialize US dollar rally revitalized by robust ISM index Aussie drops to two-month lows as RBA rate-cut expectations grow BoC decides as rate-hike bets evaporate The main event on Wednesday will be the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision. No action is expected, and since there is no press conference by Governor Poloz either, investors will scrutinize the accompanying statement for any policy hints. [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar rally in full throttle, but mind the speed bumps

Posted on March 5, 2019 at 8:58 am GMT

Dollar upswing continues unabated, but caution gradually warranted US stocks retreat after soft data, Chinese markets up on stimulus news RBA stays on hold, aussie yawns UK services and ISM non-manufacturing PMIs coming up today Dollar rally in full throttle, but speed bumps may lie ahead The US dollar registered another session of strong gains to kick off the week, gaining ground against all its major counterparts besides the defensive Japanese yen, which was the best performer as risk sentiment [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks bask in trade optimism; dollar advances

Posted on March 4, 2019 at 9:09 am GMT

Stocks cruise higher on reports that a trade deal is just around the corner Dollar advances, despite soft US data and ‘jawboning’ by Trump Loonie crushed as Canadian GDP disappoints, oil retreats Equities bask in trade optimism US stock markets closed higher on Friday, and futures suggest these indices will likely open in the green on Monday as well, fueled by renewed optimism that a US-China trade deal is just around the corner. Media reports over the weekend reinforced such [..]

European Open Preview – Yen crumbles as risk sentiment improves, dollar rebounds

Posted on March 1, 2019 at 9:09 am GMT

Dollar rebounds after US GDP beats expectations, looks to ISM manufacturing index Yen falls to two-month lows as solid Chinese PMIs reinvigorate risk appetite Busy schedule today: Eurozone inflation data, UK manufacturing PMI, Canadian GDP Dollar inches up as US GDP tops forecasts, but stocks struggle The dollar was the main winner in Thursday’s session, drawing support from stronger-than-anticipated US GDP data for Q4 to outperform all its G10 peers outside of the Swiss franc. Economic growth clocked in at [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks retreat as trade optimism fades, growth concerns return

Posted on February 28, 2019 at 9:17 am GMT

Risk aversion prevails as top US trade official reins in optimism, Chinese PMIs disappoint Sterling cruises even higher as no-deal Brexit risks fades Oil rebounds on supply news, but pulls back on demand concerns Today, German inflation and US GDP data will be in focus Risk-off mood prevails amid geopolitical and trade risks, soft Chinese data US equity markets closed with modest losses on Wednesday and futures suggest they may be headed for even more pain today, amid several risks [..]

Legal disclaimer: The material does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments. XM accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences resulting in it. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The research and analysis does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it.

It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of research, and as such it is considered to be marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of the publication of our research, we do not seek to take advantage of it before we provide it to our clients. We aim to establish, maintain and operate effective organisational and administrative arrangements with a view to taking all reasonable steps to prevent conflicts of interest from constituting or giving rise to a material risk of damage to the interests of our clients. We operate a policy of independence, which requires our employees to act in our clients’ best interests and to disregard any conflicts of interest in providing our services.

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losing all of your invested capital, so please make sure that you fully understand the risks involved.

How can we help?

Live Chat Terms