Daily Market Analysis

European Open Preview – Yen and franc firm again as Trump bans Huawei, fuelling tensions with China

Posted on May 16, 2019 at 8:29 am GMT

Trump continues to up the pressure on China; imposes ban on telecom giant Huawei But some relief as US delays auto tariffs decision for now Dollar softer after unexpectedly weak data out of the United States Aussie worst performer as rise in Australian unemployment raises rate cut bets Fragile market mood as trade tensions remain elevated Markets were mostly in risk-off mood on Thursday as a combination of on-going trade frictions and disappointing economic data out of the world’s two [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks bounce back as Trump downplays China tensions but weak data weigh on aussie

Posted on May 15, 2019 at 8:16 am GMT

Trade worries continue to ease after Trump calls latest escalation “a little squabble” Equities attempt a rebound on the back of the improving risk appetite But aussie and yuan held back from disappointing Chinese data Risk appetite recovers on Trump’s “little squabble” comments The US president, Donald Trump, sought to play down the latest spat with China on Tuesday, telling reporters “We’re having a little squabble with China because we’ve been treated very unfairly for many, many decades”. Trump also [..]

European Open Preview – Markets steadier after Trump’s comments; gold eases from highs

Posted on May 14, 2019 at 8:52 am GMT

China retaliates by raising its own tariffs against US products, throwing markets into turmoil But some optimism returns to markets after Trump says he thinks trade talks will “be very successful” Gold softer after surging on Monday, stocks sell-off eases Volatility eases as Trump keeps trade deal hopes alive After a day of turmoil in financial markets, things got off to a steadier start on Tuesday with the help of some upbeat comments by US President Trump. Global equities plunged [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks slip again as trade tensions remain heightened; yen and franc up

Posted on May 13, 2019 at 8:23 am GMT

Trade tensions continue to simmer as China pushes back on US demands But two sides agree to hold more talks, keeping risk-off in check Safe-haven currencies such as the yen and the Swiss franc rise along with US government bonds US threatens new tariffs as talks with China stall US and Chinese negotiators failed to break the deadlock over trade in their talks last week as China refuses to change its laws to enact the reforms agreed in months-long negotiations. [..]

European Open Preview – US raises tariffs, but traders still think it’s posturing

Posted on May 10, 2019 at 8:02 am GMT

Markets barely react after US raises tariffs, may be too complacent US inflation data coming up, may weigh on the dollar a little UK GDP and Canadian jobs figures also due Trump hikes tariffs, but complacent markets still see it as posturing As threatened, the US raised its tariffs on $200bn of Chinese goods to 25% overnight, from 10% previously. Beijing immediately responded it will be forced to retaliate, without providing any specifics. Yet, markets took the news in their [..]

European Open Preview – Nervous markets await tariff decision

Posted on May 9, 2019 at 8:31 am GMT

Markets remain in risk-off mode ahead of tariff decision tonight Risks seem tilted towards escalation, but it’s a close call Dollar eyes remarks by Fed Chair Powell and PPI data Yen extends gains as nervous markets await tariff decision Market sentiment remains fragile on Thursday as the prospect of further escalation in the US-China trade conflict continues to dampen the appeal of riskier assets, leading investors to seek shelter in safe havens. Indeed, the Japanese yen outperformed all its major [..]

European Open Preview – Risk aversion accelerates; RBNZ cuts

Posted on May 8, 2019 at 8:25 am GMT

Stocks plunge, haven assets shine as markets focus on trade risks RBNZ eases its policy, but kiwi bounces back Pound tumbles amid lack of progress in cross-party Brexit talks Risk aversion accelerates as trade worries prevail Trade concerns dominated price action on Tuesday, with global stock markets accelerating their losses while haven assets like the Japanese yen extended their gains, as traders continued to reduce their risk exposure ahead of crucial events later this week. Strikingly, there was no fresh [..]

European Open Preview – Stocks don’t ‘buy’ Trump’s threats; RBA holds fire

Posted on May 7, 2019 at 8:20 am GMT

US stocks stage comeback as markets doubt Trump’s tariff threats Aussie soars after RBA remains on hold RBNZ decides next – may also disappoint those looking for a cut Stocks bounce back as traders doubt Trump will escalate All eyes remain on the US-China trade conflict. Risk sentiment recovered yesterday as the session progressed, with US stock markets recouping most of their early losses to close only modestly lower. It seems investors didn’t really ‘buy’ Trump’s tariff threats, perhaps concluding [..]

European Open Preview – Trump threatens new tariffs, markets retreat

Posted on May 6, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

Stocks fall, yen soars as Trump hints at new tariffs Dollar retreats after jobs data, but trade concerns provide support Sterling rebounds amid hopes for Brexit progress Trump warns of new tariffs on China, dents risk appetite Risk aversion is the name of the game on Monday, with investors diverting funds away from riskier assets like stocks and towards safe havens such as the Japanese yen, amid fears that the US-China trade conflict is ready to re-escalate. President Trump said [..]

European Open Preview – Dollar rally eases, looks to US jobs report for further impetus

Posted on May 3, 2019 at 8:07 am GMT

US dollar extends gains ahead of today’s nonfarm payrolls report Aussie hits 4-month low as odds rise of RBA rate cut next week Oil prices slump on oversupply concerns as US output continues to surge Dollar stands tall ahead of NFP report There was little to hold back the US dollar on Friday as recent solid US data and a not-so-dovish Fed have lessened the odds of a rate cut before the year-end. Investors sharply adjusted their rate cut bets [..]

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