Daily Market Analysis

Daily Market Comment – All eyes on Powell as markets seek rate cut confirmation; dollar at 3-week high

Posted on July 10, 2019 at 8:08 am GMT

Powell’s testimony awaited as investors seek clues on rates following mixed data US dollar continues to advance higher as odds of 50 basis points cut are erased Pound and aussie extend declines on rising rate cut expectations Bank of Canada expected to hold rates Markets are praying for a dovish Powell Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony will be today’s and the week’s focal point as investors attempt to gauge how dovish policymakers will be when they meet for their next [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar holds firm as Fed rate signals awaited; pound slips to 6-month lows

Posted on July 9, 2019 at 8:21 am GMT

Dollar remains buoyant as investors re-evaluate Fed rate cut bets Focus on Fed as FOMC minutes and Powell testimony eyed for clarity on rates Pound slips to fresh 6-month lows ahead of key UK data amid slowdown fears Dollar edges higher on fading expectations of an aggressive Fed The US dollar was heading towards three-week highs against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as investors pared back their expectations that the Federal Reserve would soon embark on an aggressive easing [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar surges after strong US jobs report but stocks slide

Posted on July 8, 2019 at 8:06 am GMT

US dollar roars higher on surprise jump in US payrolls But stocks are sold off as investors trim expectations of aggressive Fed rate cuts Attention now turns to Powell’s semi-annual testimony in Congress for policy clues Strong US jobs report puts dollar back in the front foot The US dollar was trading close to Friday’s highs today when it surged on the back of a much better-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report. The US economy added 224k jobs in June, significantly higher [..]

Daily Market Comment – US payrolls could decide how deep Fed cuts in July

Posted on July 5, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

US employment data today will be crucial for Fed rate-cut expectations and the dollar Canadian jobs figures also due, as loonie touches new 2019 high In Europe, bond markets continue to price in QE, but euro snoozes US payrolls may dictate how deep Fed cuts in July and dollar’s path After a relatively quiet session on Thursday, the spotlight will fall on the US employment data today. Markets are still pricing in a ~25% probability for a ‘double’ rate cut [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks sail into uncharted waters; loonie shines

Posted on July 4, 2019 at 8:00 am GMT

American equities soar to record highs, as ‘bad news is good news’ again Loonie advances to best levels this year on Fed-BoC policy divergence Trump calls for weaker dollar, but dollar yawns US stocks hit new records American equity markets sailed into uncharted waters yesterday, with all the major indices – the S&P 500 (+0.77%), Dow Jones (+0.67%), and Nasdaq Composite (+0.74%) – closing at new record highs. In a classic case of ‘bad news is good news for stocks’, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Lagarde to succeed Draghi at ECB; US data eyed

Posted on July 3, 2019 at 8:34 am GMT

Lagarde to take over ECB after Draghi; markets bet on more QE BoE’s Carney strikes dovish tone, drags pound down Oil retreats as traders ‘sell fact’ after OPEC US ADP jobs and ISM non-manufacturing to drive dollar today IMF’s Lagarde chosen as next ECB chief In an otherwise quiet session on Tuesday, the biggest piece of news was that EU leaders finally reached a consensus on who to nominate for the Union’s top jobs. German defense minister Ursula von der [..]

Daily Market Comment – RBA cuts, but aussie won’t stay down; dollar recovers

Posted on July 2, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

RBA reduces rates again, but aussie remains unfazed Dollar recovers as July rate-cut bets are scaled back EU leaders resume talks over top jobs; Global PMIs due RBA cuts, but can’t keep the aussie down The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) slashed interest rates earlier today, for the second time in two meetings, indicating that the move will help reduce unemployment and boost inflation. The cut was widely signaled in advance and largely priced in ahead of the event, so [..]

Daily Market Comment – US and China agree to ceasefire, stocks & dollar cheer

Posted on July 1, 2019 at 8:53 am GMT

Trade ceasefire propels stocks and dollar higher, sends safe havens lower Oil rejoices on trade truce and OPEC agreement ISM manufacturing PMI today may be crucial for Fed expectations Risk sentiment lifted as Trump & Xi decide to restart trade talks The pivotal meeting between the American and Chinese leaders concluded with the two sides agreeing to restart trade negotiations and hold off on imposing any new tariffs ‘for the time being’. What stood out was that the US also [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar drifts lower as G20 outcome anxiously awaited; inflation data eyed

Posted on June 28, 2019 at 9:23 am GMT

Markets anxiously await US-China trade talks as G20 summit gets underway Dollar and other majors steady but equities struggle Eurozone and US inflation data in focus amid rate cut talk All eyes on Trump-Xi meeting As the G20 summit gets underway in Osaka, Japan, investors’ attention is fixated on the much-anticipated meeting between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi as the two leaders attempt to mend their fraught relations. There’s a lot of uncertainty as to what the meeting, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk appetite creeps higher ahead of G20 talks; dollar advances

Posted on June 27, 2019 at 8:56 am GMT

Markets in cautiously optimistic mood ahead of crucial Trump-Xi meeting Reports that US and China have agreed to tentative truce over trade lift sentiment Dollar edges up but most pairs stuck in narrow ranges as G20 outcome awaited Modest hopes of positive talks buoy risk appetite Signs that the US and China were moving close to reaching some sort of a truce over their trade dispute lifted market sentiment on Thursday. According to a Chinese newspaper report, the US [..]

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