Daily Market Analysis

Daily Market Comment – Euro area PMIs disappoint; Dollar powers through competition

Posted on July 24, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Euro area PMIs disappoint, raising bets for a dovish ECB tomorrow US dollar outperforms, without any clear catalyst Euro/franc falls below 1.10 – will the SNB intervene soon? Euro slips as disappointing PMIs fuel ECB bets Preliminary PMI data out of France and Germany for June have just been released, and were disappointing overall. While the service sector numbers were more or less in line with forecasts, the manufacturing figures fell substantially, with the French print touching the neutral 50 [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar sails higher; Boris becomes Prime Minister

Posted on July 23, 2019 at 8:09 am GMT

Dollar advances on US debt ceiling accord; may have more room to climb Boris Johnson to become new UK Prime Minister – watch his Cabinet picks Loonie and kiwi lose ground, earnings season fires up Greenback catches a bid after US debt ceiling deal Market moves were relatively subdued on Monday, with most major currency pairs trading in narrow ranges, without much in the way of news flow to guide the price action. Things became more interesting overnight though, after [..]

Daily Market Comment – Iran tensions rattle stocks, boost oil

Posted on July 22, 2019 at 8:12 am GMT

Stocks pull back, oil climbs as Iran escalates tensions with UK Dollar outperforms after Fed’s Bullard downplays prospect of ‘double’ cut Big week for euro, with a crucial ECB meeting on Thursday US equities retreat, oil rebounds after Iran seizes British ship Geopolitical headlines rattled markets late on Friday, with the benchmark S&P 500 (-0.62%) closing in the red after Iran seized a British oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, escalating hostilities with London to a new level. Oil [..]

Daily Market Comment – Cautious Fed remarks take the wheels off dollar

Posted on July 19, 2019 at 8:00 am GMT

Dovish remarks by key Fed officials push greenback lower WTI crude oil at four-week low amid mixed signals in US-Iran conflict Canadian retail sales and more Fed-speak dominate the agenda today Fed’s Williams argues for preventive easing, sends dollar reeling The greenback continues to attract all the attention, after two influential Fed officials fueled market expectations for an aggressive 50 basis points (bp) rate cut at the upcoming policy meeting. The move started after New York Fed President Williams [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pullback in dollar lifts all boats; risk aversion creeps back

Posted on July 18, 2019 at 8:14 am GMT

Dollar retreats as trade concerns fuel Fed rate cut bets Stocks drop, safe havens gain amid risk aversion Aussie climbs after employment data UK retail sales due as pound recovers some losses Dollar grinds lower as July rate cut bets mount The world’s reserve currency retreated almost across the board on Wednesday and continues to surrender ground today, falling in tandem with longer-term US interest rates as worrisome trade signals prompted traders to boost bets for aggressive Fed rate cuts. [..]

Daily Market Comment – Sterling stumbles as no-deal Brexit fears strike back

Posted on July 17, 2019 at 8:04 am GMT

Pound touches 27-month lows as no-deal Brexit concerns resurface Dollar capitalizes, and may have more room to recover for now Oil sinks as Washington hints at “progress” with Iran Canadian inflation data coming up Sterling stumbles as no-deal worries wreak havoc The pound came under fire on Tuesday, falling by more than one big figure against the dollar to touch lows last seen in April 2017, as the risk of a no-deal Brexit popped back on the market’s radar. The [..]

Daily Market Comment – US retail sales & Powell’s remarks to set the tone

Posted on July 16, 2019 at 8:36 am GMT

US retail sales and remarks by Powell top the agenda today UK jobs data may be watched as Brexit news flow remains limited Kiwi ticks up, despite lingering RBNZ rate-cut speculation EU Commission chief awaits Parliamentary confirmation Dollar looks to US retail sales and Powell’s remarks The greenback recovered some ground to start the week, in the absence of any noteworthy US news to drive the price action. That may change today though, with the release of the nation’s retail [..]

Daily Market Comment – Stocks aim for new records as Chinese data lift sentiment

Posted on July 15, 2019 at 8:50 am GMT

US stocks eye new record highs as earnings season begins Dollar pulls back as markets digest Powell’s cautiousness Kiwi outperforms on Chinese data, looks to crucial inflation numbers Solid Chinese data calm slowdown fears, boost risk appetite Global markets kicked off the week in a risk-on mood, with the major US stock indices set to open at new record highs and commodity currencies like the kiwi outperforming in the FX arena, following a batch of encouraging Chinese data. As expected, [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar see-saws on data; euro edges up despite ECB stimulus hint

Posted on July 12, 2019 at 8:11 am GMT

US dollar firms again on stronger-than-expected data, which tempers bets of 50-bps rate cut Euro edges higher even though ECB minutes signal more stimulus Oil climbs to 1½-month highs on rising Middle East tensions and Gulf of Mexico shutdown Dollar fluctuates as markets undecided on 50-bps cut Just as markets were reconsidering the likelihood of a large 50 basis points cut by the Federal Reserve this month, stronger-than-anticipated data out of the United States dampened those expectations. Core inflation, according [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar weaker after Powell flags rate cut; US stocks hit all-time highs

Posted on July 11, 2019 at 8:27 am GMT

Fed Chair Jerome Powell and FOMC minutes bolster case for a July rate reduction US dollar slips after Powell’s remarks, reversing NFP-driven gains Euro rebounds, eyes ECB minutes; pound and loonie up too US stocks hit record highs but Bitcoin plunges Powell testimony all but confirms rate cut in July Markets were in buoyant mood on Thursday as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave his strongest indication yet that the Federal Reserve will slash interest rates at the July 30-31 meeting. [..]

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