Daily Market Analysis

Daily Market Comment – Markets unimpressed by Fed’s hawkish cut; aussie slips on weak jobs data

Posted on September 19, 2019 at 8:32 am GMT

Fed lowers rates as expected, signals may not cut again; BoJ stands pat, could move in October Dollar see-saws on Fed decision, stocks pare initial losses; BoE awaited Aussie and kiwi extend slide after data fuels rate cut expectations Powell soothes market nerves as split vote casts doubt on rate outlook There were no surprises from overnight decisions by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan as the US central bank cut its benchmark rate by 25 [..]

Daily Market Comment – US funding squeeze haunts Fed ahead of rate decision; dollar slips

Posted on September 18, 2019 at 8:19 am GMT

US short-term rates jump on liquidity shortage in money markets, forcing Fed to step in FOMC decision awaited after market stress prompts speculation of balance sheet action Oil sharply reverses gains after Saudis pledge quick return to full output Calm returns to US money markets The US Federal Reserve carried out its first overnight repo operation since the financial crisis after short-term borrowing costs surged to 10% on Tuesday. The spike was caused by a funding squeeze brought on by [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil eases but stocks remain pressured; dollar edges up as focus turns to Fed

Posted on September 17, 2019 at 8:24 am GMT

Oil prices fall back slightly as imminent risk of war recedes, but tensions remain elevated US dollar in demand ahead of Fed decision; heightened tensions provide support Aussie slips after RBA minutes leave door open to another near-term rate cut Oil markets calmer but tensions high Crude oil prices moderated slightly on Tuesday as the United States and Japan pledged to release their countries’ oil reserves if needed, while President Trump said he’d like to “avoid” going to war with [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil soars after Saudi attacks; yen and gold up too

Posted on September 16, 2019 at 8:21 am GMT

Oil prices skyrocket after Yemen rebels launch air strikes on Saudi oil facilities Safe havens also jump as poor Chinese data adds to risk-off mood Pound eases from highs after EU casts doubt on Johnson’s claim of Brexit progress Oil prices surge to 4-month high after Saudi oil attacks Crude oil prices skyrocketed on Monday, recording their biggest intra-day gain since 1991 after Houthi rebels in Yemen reportedly carried out drone and cruise missile strikes on two major Saudi Arabian [..]

Daily Market Comment – ‘Super Mario’ delivers, but not enough to keep euro down

Posted on September 13, 2019 at 8:26 am GMT

ECB cuts rates & restarts QE, but Draghi’s hints that monetary policy is at its limits push euro higher Stocks soar, havens drop on reports of an ‘interim’ US-China trade deal US retail sales today may be crucial for whether Fed delivers a ‘hawkish rate cut’ next week Euro rides the ECB rollercoaster, ends higher The European Central Bank (ECB) meeting was not short of excitement, with policymakers slashing the deposit rate by 10 basis points to -0.50% and restarting [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB meeting front and center as trade worries ease

Posted on September 12, 2019 at 8:36 am GMT

ECB decision today – euro reaction to hinge on size of stimulus package Trade fears recede after US and China extend olive branches – stocks soar Oil prices dive as Trump considers easing Iran sanctions ECB meeting: Is ‘Super Mario’ coming with a bazooka or a toy gun? The much-anticipated ECB meeting concludes today at 11:45 GMT, and a press conference by President Mario Draghi will follow at 12:30 GMT. Policymakers are widely expected to deliver a blend of stimulus [..]

Daily Market Comment – Yen in distress amid trade optimism and BoJ easing talk

Posted on September 11, 2019 at 8:28 am GMT

Trade optimism remains the dominant theme, keeping FX market in a risk-on mood Yen underperforms on speculation of BoJ easing next week Oil retreats after Trump fires hawkish national security advisor Bolton Markets stay in a risk-on mood as trade optimism lingers The FX market continues to dance to a ‘risk-on’ tune, with moves in recent days being characterized by haven currencies such as the yen retreating, while trade-sensitive currencies like the aussie and the kiwi recover lost ground. Investors [..]

Daily Market Comment – Pound recovers as no-deal Brexit fears recede, for now

Posted on September 10, 2019 at 8:45 am GMT

Sterling outperforms as Johnson strikes a slightly more conciliatory tone Euro advances on reports Berlin is considering fiscal stimulus Safe havens retreat as US’ Mnuchin reiterates his optimism on trade Sterling cruises higher as no-deal Brexit chances recede, for now The political rollercoaster continues in the UK. Prime Minister Johnson lost another vote in Parliament yesterday, with lawmakers denying his request for a snap election again. Likewise, the legislation forcing the government to ask for a Brexit extension if no [..]

Daily Market Comment – Brexit the only game in town as markets wait for ECB

Posted on September 9, 2019 at 9:19 am GMT

All eyes on the UK as Boris takes another shot at securing a snap election Dollar little changed after NFP and Powell don’t move the needle – ECB in focus Markets stay in risk-on mood despite soft Chinese trade data Pound cools before another UK Parliament battle Never a dull moment in British politics. After a stormy week that saw the government lose its majority and suffer multiple Brexit defeats in Parliament, investors will keep their gaze locked on another [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar lifted by upbeat US data; Powell and NFP report coming up next

Posted on September 6, 2019 at 8:25 am GMT

US dollar trims losses after string of upbeat data ease slowdown fears in the US Powell speech and US jobs report awaited for further clues Pound holds onto gains as Johnson battles to trigger a snap election Risk appetite recovers further on strong US data The week looks set to end on a positive tone as the mid-week rebound in risk appetite received an additional boost from robust economic indicators out of the United States yesterday. The US scored a [..]

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