Daily Market Analysis

Daily Market Comment – US earnings and data, China GDP propel stocks to fresh highs; dollar nears 8-month high vs yen

Posted on January 17, 2020 at 9:24 am GMT

China reports slowest annual growth in 29 years but signs of rebound at year-end Stocks climb to new records amid ongoing trade optimism and positive earnings String of upbeat data out of the US also boosts risk appetite China’s growth slows in 2019 but recovery could be underway Economic growth in the world’s second largest economy reached the slowest in 29 years according to GDP numbers out of China this morning. GDP expanded by 6.1% for the full year in [..]

Daily Market Comment – Phase One deal brings some cheer despite doubts; dollar drifts lower

Posted on January 16, 2020 at 9:21 am GMT

US and China finally sign ‘phase one’ trade deal; stocks head into record territory Details of deal fail to reassure sceptics about enforcement and target for Chinese purchases Focus to shift to data with US retail sales and Chinese Q4 GDP coming up Markets buoyed as Phase One deal clears final hurdle US President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He put pen to paper to the long-awaited ‘Phase One’ deal on Wednesday, hoping to draw a line over [..]

Daily Market Comment – Markets turn cautious ahead of trade deal signing as Mnuchin dashes hopes of further tariff cuts

Posted on January 15, 2020 at 9:10 am GMT

Risk appetite eases as details of ‘phase one’ trade deal expected to reveal few surprises US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin suggests no additional tariff rollbacks before ‘phase two’ Stocks slip into the red, yen and franc edge up Market mood dampened ahead of trade deal signing The highly anticipated signing of the ‘phase one’ trade pact between the United States and China will take centre stage later today but with the deal already fully priced in by investors, the event [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar hits 110 yen after US removes China as currency manipulator

Posted on January 14, 2020 at 9:18 am GMT

US removes currency manipulator label from China ahead of signing of trade deal Yuan surges, yen slides as risk-on theme continues Wall Street hits another record as earnings season gets into full gear US-China tensions thaw further ahead of trade deal signing Relations between the United States and China got a boost on Monday after the US Treasury Department decided to no longer designate China as a currency manipulator. The announcement, which comes just two days before the two countries [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk assets remain well bid ahead of signing of trade deal; pound slips on rate cut speculation

Posted on January 13, 2020 at 9:33 am GMT

Risk assets start week on positive note, driven by optimism of ‘phase one’ trade deal being signed on Wednesday Risk-on sentiment, along with easing Iranian tensions, weigh on safe havens; gold and yen slide Pound under pressure as more BoE policymakers join the rate cut bandwagon Trade deal optimism continues to set market tone The week got off to an upbeat start as investors set their sights on the imminent signing of the US-China trade pact on Wednesday, which is [..]

Daily Market Comment – US stocks carve out new highs ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls

Posted on January 10, 2020 at 10:10 am GMT

Wall Street hits new records and US jobs data today may add fuel to the rally Canada’s employment figures also due – asymmetric risk for loonie? Pound drops on dovish BoE comments and may still have some way to go Nonfarm payrolls: More fuel for stocks? The main event today will be the US employment report for December. Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) are forecast to clock in at 164k, less than the astounding 266k in November, but still a solid number [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil crashes, stocks roar higher as geopolitical nerves calm

Posted on January 9, 2020 at 9:58 am GMT

Yen and gold slump, equities jump as US-Iran tensions take a back seat Dollar outperforms amid fading Fed rate-cut expectations – lots of Fed speakers today In Canada, BoC Governor Poloz delivers remarks and might strike a dovish tone Oil collapses alongside safe havens as worries of US-Iran war fade Global markets continued to price out the risk of an imminent all-out war between the US and Iran yesterday, amid signs that neither side is seeking further escalation. The fact [..]

Daily Market Comment – Iran attacks US bases, but risk aversion doesn’t last

Posted on January 8, 2020 at 9:40 am GMT

Safe havens spike higher, stocks drop as Iran hits US bases in Iraq Yet, risk aversion fades as both sides show little appetite for more escalation Meanwhile, dollar advances on healthy US data, aussie burned by wildfires Oil and gold jump, stock futures briefly dip after Iran strikes back Tehran didn’t take long to retaliate against the US assassination of its most powerful general, as overnight Iran attacked with ballistic missiles two military bases in Iraq that are hosting American [..]

Daily Market Comment – Geopolitical fears ease, but risk sentiment remains fragile

Posted on January 7, 2020 at 9:47 am GMT

Safe havens pull back, stocks recover as some geopolitical risk is priced out Alas, it might be only a matter of time before Middle East fears resurface – how will Iran retaliate? In economics, the ISM non-manufacturing PMI today may prove crucial for the dollar Yen retreats, stocks rebound as Middle East worries ease – for now Global risk appetite improved on Monday, with defensive currencies such as the Japanese yen surrendering some recent gains while US stocks recovered lost [..]

Daily Market Comment – Oil jumps, Mideast tensions rise after US air strikes kill Iranian commanders

Posted on January 3, 2020 at 9:15 am GMT

Tensions flare up in the Middle East after US air strikes kill Iran’s top military leader Oil prices shoot higher, stocks turn negative after the attacks Gold hits 4-month high, yen and Swiss franc soar US air strikes kill risk-on mood Heightened geopolitical tensions threatened to destroy the risk-on sentiment that’s been driving the markets since December after the United States launched air strikes in Iraq, killing top Iranian military officials. The US Defense Department said President Trump had ordered [..]

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