Daily Market Analysis

Daily Market Comment – Aussie tanks on virus worries; Pound flies as BoE holds

Posted on January 31, 2020 at 9:42 am GMT

Stocks stage major comeback as investors brush aside virus fears However, aussie and kiwi tell a different story – both drop substantially Is the Fed’s ‘not QE’ responsible for the divergence between stock and bond/FX markets? Pound roars higher as BoE keeps rates unchanged Stocks recover, as health officials soothe contagion concerns The market’s rollercoaster ride continued Thursday, with US equities recovering substantial losses to close into the green, even though earnings from heavyweight tech players like Facebook (-6.1%) and [..]

Daily Market Comment – Close call if BoE will cut today; Risk aversion revives

Posted on January 30, 2020 at 10:02 am GMT

All eyes on BoE meeting, markets view prospect of a rate cut as a coin toss On balance, decent PMIs give BoE breathing room to wait – if so, pound might spike higher Yen advances, stocks stumble as virus fears revive risk aversion Dollar ticks lower as Fed adopts a slightly more cautious tone, but quickly recovers BoE rate decision: To cut, or not to cut? The main event today will be the Bank of England’s (BoE) policy decision at [..]

Daily Market Comment – Fed to stand pat; risk appetite roller-coaster rolls on

Posted on January 29, 2020 at 1:29 pm GMT

Fed to stay on hold today, but adopt a slightly more cautious tone? Yen retreats, stocks rebound as risk sentiment recovers However, bond and stock markets are not on the same page today Barrage of corporate earnings coming up: Microsoft, Facebook, Tesla, Boeing No action from Fed, but perhaps a more dovish take Investors may finally divert their attention away from the deadly coronavirus today, when the Federal Reserve concludes its policy meeting at 19:00 GMT. There’s virtually no chance [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk sentiment stabilizes as virus worries calm, but caution lingers

Posted on January 28, 2020 at 9:51 am GMT

Wall Street futures signal a rebound, even without any ‘good news’ However, pockets of stress still evident in the market Japanese stocks decline further, aussie and kiwi can’t get off the floor Today: US durable goods, earnings bonanza begins with Apple Risk aversion takes a breather as virus nerves calm, for now The virus-related uncertainty that plagued global markets in recent days started to abate on Tuesday, with the safe-haven Japanese yen unable to extend its recent gains and futures [..]

Daily Market Comment – Safe havens climb, stocks slide as virus fears deepen

Posted on January 27, 2020 at 10:33 am GMT

Worries that new virus is turning into an epidemic push yen and gold higher Stocks fall alongside oil prices as investors reassess potential economic hit Question now is how long this havoc will last, and whether it gets worse from here Risk sentiment takes a hit as virus death toll soars Risk aversion is the name of the game in global markets on Monday, as investors grapple with concerns about how rapidly the deadly coronavirus is spreading and its potential [..]

Daily Market Comment – Euro slips after ECB; stocks stage another comeback

Posted on January 24, 2020 at 12:28 pm GMT

Euro/dollar breaks lower as ECB is a touch more dovish than expected European PMIs today were mixed, leaving the euro in search of direction Stocks recover losses, but yen doesn’t move accordingly – excess liquidity to blame? UK PMIs beat forecasts, arguing for the BoE to stay on hold next week Euro drops as Lagarde doesn’t hit back at negative rates As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) made no changes to its stimulus program yesterday, nor did President Lagarde [..]

Daily Market Comment – ECB meets after BoC sinks loonie; risk appetite wobbles

Posted on January 23, 2020 at 9:54 am GMT

ECB to stay on hold – risks tilted towards a slightly more upbeat narrative BoC teases rate cut, sends loonie plunging Yen jumps as China seals off major city to avoid virus contagion Pound and aussie soar after strong data diminish odds of rate cuts ECB decision: No action, but perhaps a less dovish tone All eyes will be on the European Central Bank (ECB) today, which concludes its policy meeting at 12:45 GMT. No action is expected, so the [..]

Daily Market Comment – Don’t fear the virus; BoC rate decision in sight

Posted on January 22, 2020 at 9:19 am GMT

BoC to stay on hold, but any hints of concern might elicit sharp downside in loonie Risk sentiment recovers as concerns about the virus fade Decent UK data lift sterling, but PMIs will be the casting vote on rate cut BoC meeting: Another asymmetric event for the loonie The main event today will be the Bank of Canada (BoC) rate decision at 15:00 GMT. A press conference by Governor Poloz will follow about an hour later. Rates are almost certain [..]

Daily Market Comment – Risk appetite hit by China virus fears

Posted on January 21, 2020 at 9:57 am GMT

Yen shines, Asian stocks drop as markets focus on virus outbreak BoJ preserves its limited firepower for a rainy day Busy day ahead: UK data, impeachment, World Economic Forum, and earnings Yen lifted by coronavirus concerns, but is this sustainable? Financial markets traded quietly on Monday, with most currency pairs staying confined in very narrow ranges, as a public holiday in America and the absence of any noteworthy economic data releases in Europe left investors wanting. That all changed overnight [..]

Daily Market Comment – Dollar grinds higher, Wall Street hits new records

Posted on January 20, 2020 at 9:43 am GMT

Greenback outperforms as incoming data reaffirm strength of US economy Pound crumbles after soft retail sales enhance case for a BoE rate cut next week Bank of Japan rate decision coming up; supply disruptions boost oil Solid US data lift dollar, catapult US stocks to fresh records The dollar was the star performer in the FX market on Friday, advancing across the board after the latest batch of US data beat forecasts, feeding the narrative that the American economy continues [..]

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